I'm not expecting a large number of evictions like CNN predicts, but I do expect a large number of Tenants to be negatively impacted by this for the next few years.

I was thinking to focus on cash flow over appreciation because I think that's easier to analyze/predict than appreciation?

BRRRRR's always have a limit to the amount that makes sense and thus are difficult to accurately predict.

Impossible to predict what the market would do, but you aren't solely relying on natural appreciation which is good.

My prediction is even $4 gas has virtually no effect on anything regarding tourism.

Not the same unit, but it can't be predicted.  

The following are a few that comes to mind:(1) Holding cost/s to fix these properties far outweigh the profit the company was going to make after rehab.(2) The turnaround time to fix these properties is untenable due to the shortage of labor costs.(3) The inflated acquisition price, coupled with an extensive long lead time of raw material have exasperated the new supply of new housing inventory.(4) Institutional investors are selling/bailing because of the sentiment of https://tinyurl.com/Shoeshineboyindicator.(5) And last but not least, the AI algorithm has taken into account the above parameters and predicted a bearish outlook for the subject housing market segment.With all of the above in play, what?

Often, management companies have to deal with some "not so great properties" due to buyer's real estate agents lack of knowledge and misleading predictions about the rental performance.

We can only give general predictions and of course most - if not all of us - agree that we have no clue when it will happen.Things such as low interest rates and money printing are only prolonging and worsening the inevitable and they also only muddy the waters on a prediction as to when a crash will occur.

Good credit is important, but with only one year of history, it is hard to predict how he will perform long term.