Economists:It is said that there are 4 phases of a real estate cycle: (1) RECESSION (supply greatly exceeds demand and high vacancy rate); (2) RECOVERY (rental growth remains stagnant with little signs of new construction but the economy feels like it is headed in right direction); (3) EXPANSION (job growth is strong and increased demand for housing. 

Stick to <65% LTV's: in all of the recessions, including the great financial crises, housing prices have never declined more than 30%. 65% is a staple number for most hardmoney lenders for this reason. 3.

So it makes it very difficult to negotiate with borrowers who are delinquent in judicial only states, as well as is a risk when the portfolio comes under stress (such as in a severe recession).

In the near term appreciation is not guaranteed, but over a long hold it has been a virtual guarantee as it has occurred for every 12 year period going back to start of price records and the 12 year was the Great Recession. - equity pay down is significant on expensive property.So if using 50% expense ratio, if you are less negative than market rent, you are likely doing better than most local RE investors.  

This will slow down with the recession, but things really have gotten crazy.

The main house is completed and as far as labor, I spent $40,000 on just labor and that includes everything from full gut demo to finishes.We are talking about a 4BD, 3BTH two story 2400 ft.² home with a bonus room.This was a full gut job, replaced…12 Windows (new construction)2 sliding doorsTook out all carpet throughout.Took out this ugly 2” thick tile from half of the downstairs portion.Removed popcorn throughout the entire houseTook one wall downA little framing workReplaced entry door 80” x 92”Drywall patchingSmooth drywall work50 recessed lightingAll electrical neededAll plumbing neededNew cement walkway instead of one walk to the front door I created two steps with two lights in each step.Install kitchen cabinets, excluding countertopInstall all three vanities3 bathtubs with one being a modern standalone tub in the masterAll tile work (bathroom wall & floor, kitchen backsplash)Installing of all hardware, faucets, showerheads, etcInstalled 8 single panel doors with hardwareAdding self-leveler after tearing out that thick tileNew LVP flooring throughout the entire house except bathrooms,all baseboards, trimsPainting the entire house, painting all the doors, painting the outside trim.Reframing the outside balconyReframing the fireplace to install new linear modern electrical fireplaceand they took care of the two trash bins.I mean, completely redone.The only thing that was not included in the $40,000 is landscaping, counter top cut and install and of course the ADU which I’m currently working on now.So my question for my fellow investors and contractors did I pay too much?

It's a great idea, especially as we might be heading into a recession and people are going to be looking down a level in rent from what they might have otherwise.

Why buy the real estate equivalent of a penny stock when you can afford to buy blue chip aristocrat dividend stocks (Class A multifamily properties in good locations with actual strong fundamentals like population growth, a diverse and recession-resistant job market, limited supply and high demand, affordability, and consistent long-term appreciation)?

Divorce is "the" most recession proof customer base in existence. 

I could be completely wrong though....Keep in mind that in the past 100 years not 1 sitting president has EVER been re-elected during a recession / economic hardship created under there watch.