AGNC paying me 14% dividend and should rise >10% over next year as long bond yields fall due to falling inflation like today, or rate cuts, or recession. or equityREITs, like BSRTF, owns multi-family in Texas/Arkansas/Oklahoma, in good long term growth areasgood luck :)

For example, back in the great recession when lending dried up, that market inefficiency created an opportunity for investors with capital to take advantage by drastically decreasing many people's ability to buy.

If out of choice, the 10 year yield should drop another 75 to 100 basis points, bringing the mortgage rates down, and if we go into recession then they will cut out of necessity bringing the 10 yr yield down 150 to 250 basis points at least, and also leading to rising unemployment and declines in property values, although HCAD will take their sweet time to adjust as always. 

And for a period of time, they were right:  The financial crisis and Great Recession followed, and the market value of that property dropped almost in half on 5 years. 

A lot of people are held back by whether or not there will be a recession "soon". 

Another good question is if the syndication failure rate will be lower or higher than during the Great Recession of 2008-2010.

It should take rare events such as Great Recession or Covid to under perform an underwriting.  

If economy tanks, recession, depression, people can't afford squat, RENTS GO UP. because the demand for the supply will be insane.    

The duplexes will be in B-class mix of blue-collar and white-collar neighborhoods with good rental demand and during times of a recession they should hopefully hold their rental price & demand.How does the plan sound?

Equity in properties is a roller coaster, you gradually increase your equity, before it is lost in a recession.