If you can predict the future then you really shouldn't be in real estate, you should be on Wall Street and a millionaire. 

Foundation issues are extremely expensive and hard to predict the costs.

You can't accurately predict how long someone will stay.

Anyone who believes that Austin is headed for a major correction or sustained lower prices in the foreseeable future needs a compelling and realistic case for how the Austin metro goes from 0.6 months of inventory to well beyond 6.5 months.I think the most likely scenario is that the Austin market stabilizes and proceeds in a more orderly and predictable fashion at this new pricing level.

There are too many unknowns to try and predict that.  4.

I found this difficult to believe specifically because he was so confident that this was the ARV (and as I've read on BP, no one can predict the future.)

Markets behave in a weird convoluted way in response to intervention so predicting the exact outcome in terms of which commodity will be impacted in what way taxes a more complex analysis.

And I really need to start seeing this business dole out regular and predictable profits instead of holding them forever. 

But yeah, once the COVID regulations went in and the federal government claimed that kind of power for itself through the CDC, the outcomes didn't need a crystal ball to be correctly predicted.

You are basically just guessing on your first one and based on those results you can better predict additional units.