So, I went free...I read awhile back in the WSJ where Alan Greenspan said that there is currently no way to accurately predict values of homes.

I know this is very hard to predict just interested on what you guys see.

I predict the DOW will go below 8000 very soon.

Anyone have any predictions?

Maybe they could predict the stock market also!

Someone brought their neighbors house in 2006 for $600,000, (same house basically) and just sold it for $800,000 last month.Now I can't predict the future, I don't know if NY can still appreciate the way it has been for the past two decades.

I found this article in Yahoo Finance, pretty much it predicts that commercial R.E. will also collapse.

Using the FNMA chart does provide a definite advantage in predicting mortgage interest rates.

He predicted all of this when he ran in the primaries.

He was a risk analysis type with Wall Street before he came up with the theory that the unknown will always be the downfall of such projections.His stock investment strategy was exactly what you stated Jeff in you post, 80% safe (so you can't lose it)and the rest in highly speculative things because if even one of them hits you are rich beyond your dreams.Each crisis including the one we're in was caused by events that were "large- impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events beyond the realm of normal experience".