This thesis statement was driven by the collective understanding that there are significant rental inventory supply issues in most markets in the country.

Fitchburg Listing Inventory has remained flat for the first quarter of the year, below the previous year with Sales matching near half the previous year over the last 2 months.

Generally speaking an investor collects rental income and signs a lease with a tenant whereas a flipper or developer shows "inventory held for sale" on their books and gets all of their economics derived from a SALE.

So I then posted the advertisement on the MLS to a vast area of hungry Retail Buyer‘s within a market with very low inventory.

Springfield saw a slight increase in listing inventory, consistently performing better than the previous year.

Greater Boston inventory has risen over the last few months with plateaued sales since February.

New Bedford Listing Inventory is performing well and does better than the previous year (minus the big swing in February).

Sales Data for the Previous 6 MonthsNew Home SalesNovember 2023Sales: 150 (MoM: -3%, YoY: +5%)Median Sales Price: $325,000 (MoM: +1%, YoY: +8%)Average Square Footage: 2100 sq ft (MoM: +2%, YoY: +6%)Inventory: 180 (MoM: +5%, YoY: +12%)December 2023Sales: 160 (MoM: +7%, YoY: +6%)Median Sales Price: $330,000 (MoM: +1.5%, YoY: +7%)Average Square Footage: 2120 sq ft (MoM: +1%, YoY: +7%)Inventory: 185 (MoM: +2.7%, YoY: +10%)January 2024Sales: 140 (MoM: -12.5%, YoY: +3%)Median Sales Price: $335,000 (MoM: +1.5%, YoY: +9%)Average Square Footage: 2130 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +5%)Inventory: 190 (MoM: +2.7%, YoY: +8%)February 2024Sales: 170 (MoM: +21.4%, YoY: +10%)Median Sales Price: $340,000 (MoM: +1.5%, YoY: +10%)Average Square Footage: 2150 sq ft (MoM: +0.9%, YoY: +6%)Inventory: 195 (MoM: +2.6%, YoY: +7%)March 2024Sales: 180 (MoM: +5.9%, YoY: +15%)Median Sales Price: $345,000 (MoM: +1.5%, YoY: +12%)Average Square Footage: 2160 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +5%)Inventory: 200 (MoM: +2.5%, YoY: +6%)April 2024Sales: 190 (MoM: +5.6%, YoY: +18%)Median Sales Price: $350,000 (MoM: +1.5%, YoY: +12.5%)Average Square Footage: 2180 sq ft (MoM: +0.9%, YoY: +6.5%)Inventory: 210 (MoM: +5%, YoY: +8%)Existing Home SalesNovember 2023Sales: 400 (MoM: -2.4%, YoY: +3%)Median Sales Price: $275,000 (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +5%)Average Square Footage: 1850 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4%)Inventory: 450 (MoM: +4%, YoY: +9%)December 2023Sales: 420 (MoM: +5%, YoY: +4%)Median Sales Price: $280,000 (MoM: +1.8%, YoY: +6%)Average Square Footage: 1860 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4.5%)Inventory: 460 (MoM: +2.2%, YoY: +8%)January 2024Sales: 380 (MoM: -9.5%, YoY: +2%)Median Sales Price: $285,000 (MoM: +1.8%, YoY: +7%)Average Square Footage: 1870 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4%)Inventory: 470 (MoM: +2.2%, YoY: +7%)February 2024Sales: 450 (MoM: +18.4%, YoY: +9%)Median Sales Price: $290,000 (MoM: +1.8%, YoY: +8%)Average Square Footage: 1880 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +5%)Inventory: 480 (MoM: +2.1%, YoY: +6%)March 2024Sales: 470 (MoM: +4.4%, YoY: +12%)Median Sales Price: $295,000 (MoM: +1.7%, YoY: +9%)Average Square Footage: 1890 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4%)Inventory: 490 (MoM: +2%, YoY: +5%)April 2024Sales: 500 (MoM: +6.4%, YoY: +15%)Median Sales Price: $300,000 (MoM: +1.7%, YoY: +10%)Average Square Footage: 1900 sq ft (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +5%)Inventory: 500 (MoM: +2%, YoY: +6%)TownhomesNovember 2023Sales: 45 (MoM: -4%, YoY: +6%)Median Sales Price: $210,000 (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +5.5%)Average Square Footage: 1,450 sq ft (MoM: +1%, YoY: +3%)Inventory: 60 (MoM: +3%, YoY: +10%)December 2023Sales: 50 (MoM: +11%, YoY: +7%)Median Sales Price: $215,000 (MoM: +2.4%, YoY: +6.5%)Average Square Footage: 1,460 sq ft (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.5%)Inventory: 65 (MoM: +8.3%, YoY: +12%)January 2024Sales: 40 (MoM: -20%, YoY: +4%)Median Sales Price: $220,000 (MoM: +2.3%, YoY: +7%)Average Square Footage: 1,470 sq ft (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +4%)Inventory: 70 (MoM: +7.7%, YoY: +10%)February 2024Sales: 55 (MoM: +37.5%, YoY: +9%)Median Sales Price: $225,000 (MoM: +2.3%, YoY: +8%)Average Square Footage: 1,480 sq ft (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +4.5%)Inventory: 75 (MoM: +7.1%, YoY: +11%)March 2024Sales: 60 (MoM: +9.1%, YoY: +12%)Median Sales Price: $230,000 (MoM: +2.2%, YoY: +9%)Average Square Footage: 1,490 sq ft (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +5%)Inventory: 80 (MoM: +6.7%, YoY: +12%)April 2024Sales: 65 (MoM: +8.3%, YoY: +15%)Median Sales Price: $235,000 (MoM: +2.2%, YoY: +10%)Average Square Footage: 1,500 sq ft (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +5.5%)Inventory: 85 (MoM: +6.3%, YoY: +12.5%)CondosNovember 2023Sales: 30 (MoM: -6.3%, YoY: +4%)Median Sales Price: $175,000 (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4.5%)Average Square Footage: 1,200 sq ft (MoM: +1%, YoY: +2.5%)Inventory: 45 (MoM: +4.7%, YoY: +8%)December 2023Sales: 32 (MoM: +6.7%, YoY: +5%)Median Sales Price: $180,000 (MoM: +2.9%, YoY: +5.5%)Average Square Footage: 1,210 sq ft (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +3%)Inventory: 48 (MoM: +6.7%, YoY: +9%)January 2024Sales: 28 (MoM: -12.5%, YoY: +3%)Median Sales Price: $185,000 (MoM: +2.8%, YoY: +6%)Average Square Footage: 1,220 sq ft (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +3.5%)Inventory: 50 (MoM: +4.2%, YoY: +8%)February 2024Sales: 35 (MoM: +25%, YoY: +8%)Median Sales Price: $190,000 (MoM: +2.7%, YoY: +7%)Average Square Footage: 1,230 sq ft (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +4%)Inventory: 53 (MoM: +6%, YoY: +9%)March 2024Sales: 38 (MoM: +8.6%, YoY: +10%)Median Sales Price: $195,000 (MoM: +2.6%, YoY: +8%)Average Square Footage: 1,240 sq ft (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +4.5%)Inventory: 56 (MoM: +5.7%, YoY: +10%)April 2024Sales: 40 (MoM: +5.3%, YoY: +12%)Median Sales Price: $200,000 (MoM: +2.6%, YoY: +9%)Average Square Footage: 1,250 sq ft (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +5%)Inventory: 60 (MoM: +7.1%, YoY: +12%)Property Type and Purchase Type SegregationSingle-Family Residences (SFR)April 2024Cash Purchase: 70 sales (35% of total SFR sales) Median Sales Price: $305,000 Average Square Footage: 1950 sq ftFinanced Purchase: 130 sales (65% of total SFR sales) Median Sales Price: $295,000 Average Square Footage: 1920 sq ftTownhomesApril 2024Cash Purchase: 20 sales (40% of total Townhome sales) Median Sales Price: $220,000 Average Square Footage: 1450 sq ftFinanced Purchase: 30 sales (60% of total Townhome sales) Median Sales Price: $210,000 Average Square Footage: 1430 sq ftCondosApril 2024Cash Purchase: 15 sales (50% of total Condo sales) Median Sales Price: $180,000 Average Square Footage: 1200 sq ftFinanced Purchase: 15 sales (50% of total Condo sales) Median Sales Price: $175,000 Average Square Footage: 1180 sq ftRental Data for the Previous 6 MonthsSingle-Family HomesDecember 20232-bedroom: $1,100 (MoM: +2%, YoY: +5%)3-bedroom: $1,350 (MoM: +1%, YoY: +4%)4-bedroom: $1,600 (MoM: +2.5%, YoY: +3.8%)January 20242-bedroom: $1,125 (MoM: +2.3%, YoY: +5.5%)3-bedroom: $1,360 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +4.2%)4-bedroom: $1,620 (MoM: +1.25%, YoY: +4%)February 20242-bedroom: $1,130 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +5.2%)3-bedroom: $1,370 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +4.1%)4-bedroom: $1,640 (MoM: +1.2%, YoY: +3.9%)March 20242-bedroom: $1,135 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +5.1%)3-bedroom: $1,380 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +4.0%)4-bedroom: $1,650 (MoM: +0.6%, YoY: +3.8%)April 20242-bedroom: $1,140 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +4.8%)3-bedroom: $1,390 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.9%)4-bedroom: $1,660 (MoM: +0.6%, YoY: +3.7%)May 20242-bedroom: $1,145 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +4.6%)3-bedroom: $1,400 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.8%)4-bedroom: $1,670 (MoM: +0.6%, YoY: +3.6%)ApartmentsDecember 20232-bedroom: $1,000 (MoM: +1.5%, YoY: +4%)3-bedroom: $1,250 (MoM: +1%, YoY: +3.5%)4-bedroom: $1,450 (MoM: +2%, YoY: +3.8%)January 20242-bedroom: $1,020 (MoM: +2%, YoY: +4.2%)3-bedroom: $1,260 (MoM: +0.8%, YoY: +3.6%)4-bedroom: $1,460 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.9%)February 20242-bedroom: $1,025 (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4.1%)3-bedroom: $1,265 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +3.5%)4-bedroom: $1,470 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.8%)March 20242-bedroom: $1,030 (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +4.0%)3-bedroom: $1,270 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +3.4%)4-bedroom: $1,480 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.7%)April 20242-bedroom: $1,035 (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +3.8%)3-bedroom: $1,275 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +3.3%)4-bedroom: $1,490 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.6%)May 20242-bedroom: $1,040 (MoM: +0.5%, YoY: +3.6%)3-bedroom: $1,280 (MoM: +0.4%, YoY: +3.2%)4-bedroom: $1,500 (MoM: +0.7%, YoY: +3.5%)Birmingham, AL Real Estate Market Forecast (June 2024 - November 2024)Market OverviewThe Birmingham real estate market is expected to remain robust, driven by rising property prices, competitive market conditions, and strong demand.

Once you understand a little more about the legislation and laws in place the tenant laws will not be so scary.For a 10k a month cap rate you are looking at inventory that would either be a luxury single family home or a multifam that would be 4 or more units.

Inventory seems to be moving pretty quickly once listed or are at least “pending” within a few days.