We are not in that spot today, but the economy cycles.

Passive marketing often has the biggest profits on your deals, because someone is in pain and they are seeking you out.Passive Marketing: Search Engine Optimization (SEO), Google Pay Per Click (PPC), Facebook Ads Retargeting, Direct Mail, TV commercials, Radio AdsActive Marketing on the other hand can be extremely difficult and go through boom and bust cycles.

Of course there are cycles but it's nearly impossible to predict or observe them prior to their taking place.

(Which reminds me of people who used “cycle theory” to explain why the crash was going to happen in 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021.

In 3 or 5 or 7 years, your first deals will go full cycle and hopefully return your capital and some appreciation and you reinvest - it grows faster than you expect. 

Things like the loan provided to GM, no, NOT for it, I was 100% for let-em die because it's exactly what they earned, and the rotting corpse of GM would have been fertilizer for 10 NEW auto companies, BUT I do understand where the powers-that-be were at thinking that life cycle would have been too brutal and wanted to focus on the tens of thousands of jobs and incomes impacted by allowing the natural cycle to play out.  

Squatter’s monthly water bill is $1400 and he’s cycling through appliances (he breaks, I pay to replace as legally required, he claims unit is uninhabitable).

Things get HOT in Scottsdale (that's somewhere in Arizona ) where it was 117 degrees yesterdayShootout at short-term rental riles mayorhttps://www.scottsdale.org/cit...By just about any definition it was a bad party – ending in gunshots, screams and sirens.But it could have been worse.Perhaps miraculously, no one was injured during a gunfight after a holiday party spilled into a normally-quiet south Scottsdale cul-de-sac.While the East Kimsey Lane party at a short-term rental was still being investigated, police learned a woman who died of gunshots in Phoenix likely was at the Scottsdale party.

And then they finally give up.. the house gets sold as is (usually a wholesaler gets in the middle of it) the local turnkey flipper buys it rehabs it again puts it in the turnkey marketers inventory and the cycle starts a new.

In a recession things do not move in a straight line.Employment that is easy to debunk. that is a late cycle indicator.