Okay, so let's ignore the death benefit and let's assume we get paid a dividend on the full cash value even after taking out the loan (which doesn't seem right,
Adam - We've covered this a dozen times. The cash value is still in the policy. It never left. The loan is secured by the cash value. This is the insurance company's money.
but we'll go with it) and that dividend is tax-free. Let's also assume, like in your example, the interest payments on the loan are made once at the end of the year without the interest compounding (again, doesn't seem right, but let's go with it).
The interest/dividends do compound each year.
And let's assume you can borrow up to 100% of the cash value.
Its a little extreme, but possible. You're not taking it out, you are collateralizing it.
Let's also use a 28% tax rate even though this is a real estate forum and a long-term capital gains tax rate might make more sense.
I believe I specifically stated that this could be a note or private money loan. But it doesn't matter. LTCG rate would be appropriate for pure real estate transaction.
Let's ignore any mortgage deduction or depreciation benefits, as well. All of these assumptions are in your favor.
What about these numbers:
10% ROI
4% Dividend - this number has been floating around quite a bit as typical rate.
5% Loan Rate - so has this
28% tax rate
The worst case scenario for a policy loan is what is called a "wash loan". That is, the interest rate on you policy loan is the same as the interest rate(div) on the cash value. You can use 4% which is usually the guaranteed rate on most whole life policies. The appropriate loan rate would also be 4% at this rate.
But seriously, there are companies I can write today that are currently paying 7% and loaning at 5%. Make hay while the sun is shining.
Again, my $100,000 returns $7200 like in your example 1.
In example 2, though, the numbers are different:
CV | 85000 |
Return | 3400 |
Investment 2 | 85000 |
Return | 8500 |
Interest | 4250 |
Diff | 4250 |
Taxes | 1190 |
Total | 3060 |
Total return | 6460 |
Okay, so, you're actually doing about 10% worse here than just investing the money. The difference between the two just grows if you use a lower tax rate.
How about these numbers:
8% ROI
4% Dividend
5% Loan Rate
15% tax rate
My $100,000 investment returns $6800 ($8000 in returns taxed at 15%)
Your strategy returns:
CV | 85000 |
Return | 3400 |
Investment | 85000 |
Return | 6800 |
Interest | 4250 |
Diff | 2550 |
Taxes | 382.5 |
Total | 2167.5 |
Total return | 5567.5 |
Nearly 20% worse. Even if I lower the loan rate to 4% to match the dividend rate, your total return is still just $6290, about 7.5% worse.
So, essentially, unless the dividend payment outpaces the loan payment, you're going to do worse, unless your tax rate is very high or your ROI is low. You're also locked into making premium payments that will increase as you get older
What?? As I stated in my example, it was a "5-Pay" of $100,000 per year for 5 years. That's it. Funded for life. You may be confusing the "Cost of Insurance" with "Premium" COI is only applicable to a Universal Life policy, not a Whole Life. It is only a fraction of the cash value, seriously, less than 0.25% of the CV. Whole Life will never need another dime after 5 premiums paid.
Seriously, lets get back to my original premise: If you can put your money into an account paying 7% and that account can secure a loan at 5%, then anything you do with that 5% money that earns more than 5% will be adding value on top of the 7%. You wouldn't make an investment unless you know you can make money.
I make 20%+ on my tax liens. Your example isn't even in my world. Loan rates and dividends may change, in the future, but I'm investing right now.
PLUS
This was only the first year. That 15% penalty you see is only assessed on new premium. I don't want to explain policy and premium charges here, but they go away. The next year, your "bank" will have grown and you'll be using higher % dollars. You're not going into this blindfolded. If you started tomorrow. You'll have a policy with 7% and 5%. It works right now and will continue to work.
I use an Indexed UL for this. My interest crediting fluctuates between 0 and 13% based on the S&P 500. I've had two good years of 13's. This year will probably be zero, but I don't care because I know the markets will eventually bounce back. The long term average is over 8%
Maybe that's too risky for you, but it works for me.
and eventually you'll either have to repay the "loan" or have it deducted from your death benefit.
What am I missing?
Reality. Here's my returns. Is this every year? Hell no. But I'll take it.