@Mike Dymski From your own words, "lets not mistake the past", I went ahead and corrected the spelling of mistake***, I blame my OCD ... I will start this off by saying in no way, shape, or form do I think that Phoenix or any city for that matter is recession proof, or that that there will not be a "pull back" at some point, but I am stating that our local economy supports the growth that we have been seeing, and it does not take a telescope to see that we are one of the fastest growing cities in the nation.. Do you not remember that it was NOT just Phoenix and Scottsdale that experienced a significant pullback/ housing crisis... Last time I checked it was just about every major city in the nation felt the repercussions.. Let’s not forget San Diego, Miami, Charlotte, Las Vegas just to name a few major other cities that fell hard that have now bounced back..... You could have picked up condos and foreclosed properties for quarters on the dollar all across the country, I remember feeling the storm of the recession in major cities such as Houston & Dallas, even if it was not quite to the extent of Phoenix or Miami..
As we sure all know, it had nothing to do with the city of Phoenix itself, but rather the lenders across the country that were giving out loans to every Tom, Dick, & Harry that had a drivers license... These Countrywide/ unethical lenders were originating loans like hot cakes, and taking advantage of an already out of line situation, and last I checked giving 500k loans to applicants that were making under 30k a year & nowhere near qualified is quite unethical. Hence, the icing on the cake for how the bubble burst. I think stating that Phoenix was the "epicenter" of the last housing crisis is pretty far stretched. From my understanding, Greenville pricing has gone up quite significantly from where it was at back in 2009. I know Charlotte hit rock bottom back in 2011 and pricing has since stabilized, so I would say any American city is just as prone to a downward cyclical risk as Phoenix or any other city in the nation..
The difference from 2007, if you fast forward to 2019 is that it is NOT an easy process to get a loan whether you are a first time buyer or a seasoned investor such as myself.. The process is very detailed and tedious, and this is something that makes me happy as it puts some shield on filtering out the buyers that are not yet qualified (side note- I am routing for every single prospective buyer to get qualified, and nothing brings me more happiness than when first timers makes that leep into becoming a homeowner.. Patience is a virtue and nobody should ever get discouraged, I remember being there). Althought various people may find this frustrating, we did learn some of our mistakes from last time.... This along with already very low lending rates gives me some reassurance that we are heading in the right direction. Not to mention some of the valid points that @Jared Smith has made to reassure that Phoenix may just have a healthy life ahead of it..
Just my $0.02 for whatever it is worth...