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All Forum Posts by: Sunny Karen

Sunny Karen has started 4 posts and replied 15 times.

Thank you everyone for coming out and reporting your experience working with the Upside team. It's good to hear all the positives & without doubt we will do our due diligence in the process.

I was less concerned about the one property that was discussed and more the overall working relationship. Being an OOS investor has it's own challenges and having a team that you can trust (not blindly) is very important to us.

Thanks @Greg Scott.

I understand that Detroit is a very block-by-block city and those areas look like C-class neighboorhoods. Not being local to Detroit - I was expecting bars on the doors in most C-class areas, was it not your expectation?

Roughly by doing BRRR's around those areas it seems like I could get around 1.2 - 1.5% of Rent-to-Price ratio. That's only on paper though, and reality could be very different.

For the areas that you picked what price point and rent-to-price range do you target?
  

Hello BP community,

My family is evaluating a cash-flow market to get into - and we are close to finalizing on Detroit for various reasons (entry point, >1% RTP, strategic investments in parts of the city, ...)

Based on conversations in my local REI meetups, this will be our first time experimenting with BRRRR's in Detroit with the intent to hold onto the properties long-term. Plan is to buy SFH & Duplexes and start out small and scale quickly once we figure out the market. We have done a lot of reading here about Class-C properties and the risks that come with it, but haven't experienced it first-hand.

We have full-time W-2 jobs and cannot be local in the area and need a trusted team on the ground. Has anyone here worked with Upside investments (https://www.investinupside.com/about.html) - Nader Shariff team? It looks like they promise a hands-off approach (sourcing, rehab management, property management) but wanted to see any experiences here in the BP community.

Besides that, I understand there is no crystal ball, but for Detroit investing - what's stopping Detroit from going back to 2008 pricing in the future?

Quote from:
Deal 1- $91K down payment for $1200-2400 yr cash flow…NOPE! Not a good deal for Tulsa area. Also would be amazed if you could actually get $1600 mo rent there. 

Deal 2- $75K down payment for $600-1200 yr cash flow…NOPE! Not a good deal for Tulsa area. Depending on exact location west side can be very high crime or a good blue collar area. 

Tulsa is a great market overall.  But this isn’t Cali.  We can get good CASH FLOW here, I don’t touch anything under $300 per door.  Our appreciation is decent but isn’t as high as Cali. There’s lots of competition here for GOOD deals, but there’s probably a reason us locals aren’t buying these two.  Best of luck! 

 Thank you Jeff. What rent-to-value ratio (1% rule) do you target for good blue-collar neighborhoods in the Tulsa metro area?

For context: I don't plan to BRRRR in the area but buy things that are close to rent-ready already.

Quote from @Heather Gates:

I'm also a small multifamily investor in the Tulsa area. I calculated negative cash flow on both of these properties I'm also really conservative. I still really want the Sand Springs duplex to work and since there are multiple and brand new, that's the direction I would focus. I don't know if you could get that high of rent right now but as the area develops it might be possible. I think someone else mentioned the trailer park close to there so I would suggest calculating lower rent in the beginning. Best of luck! There seem to be more and more multifamily coming to the market so I'm sure you'll find something that works. 


Glad to connect with you, thanks for the feedback!
Given your knowledge of the area would you move forward with a deal like this?

Being a multi-family investor, what's your criteria/buy-box in the B type neighborhoods? 

Quote from @Dan H.:

The maintenance/cap ex is too low.  20% total for both together will be closer.  1% properties at current rates  do not cash flow in virtually all markets.  

Using 50% rule:

- Property 1: p&i ~$1800, expense $1600.  Negative $200/month
- property 2: p&i ~$1500, expense $1250. Negative $250/month.  

I would consider purchase if neighborhoodscout showed appreciation to be at least 9/10 for last decade or 10/10 for this century.  
neighborhoodscout for Tulsa 5/10 for last decade, 4/10 for century.  

Historically at best average appreciation. Negative cash flow.  What would be purpose of the purchase?

the goal is to make money.  The goal is not to own properties.  

Good luck


 That's good feedback, thank you!

Quote from @Dahlia Khalaf:

@Sunny Karen Hello! I am an investor and real estate broker here in Tulsa specializing in investment property. I don't know if you have someone helping you already but my input would be there isn't much of an appreciation or cash flow play on either of these properties. If I was going to suggest purchasing new construction where I know its unlikely you will cash flow then I would be looking for long term appreciation and I would suggest that in some other locations we could discuss if you are interested. Please feel free to private message me or email me at [email protected]


Thank you Dahlia. I did see your episode some time ago on BiggerPockets podcast. I will reach out soon when we start getting serious in the area. 

Quote from @Benjamin Aaker:
Thanks for putting in your long term goals. That has a huge impact on what you should be doing right now. A couple of considerations to add to the other posts:
1.Are you paying cash for the down payment or borrowing? That would need to be factored in.
2. Your cash on cash returns are low, but you are looking for equity build. That's ok so long as you have a solid plan for when you have a cap ex. Factoring it in to the budget is necessary, but it'll be a while before you build up the cap ex account. You need to be prepared for a new furnace now. If you are, then financially I don't see a problem with them.
3. Lastly, if you are planning to expand your portfolio, these may limit you because of the low returns.

 Thank you Benjamin!

We are more conservative investors at this stage and plan to using our cash to pay for the properties. The low cash-on-cash return is a little concerning but longer term (10-20+) horizon and appreciation + rent growth is what we are looking at. Agreed on the expansion, we are planning to get a few units (<20) at this stage and aggressively pay it off in the next 5-10 years to act as supplemental retirement income.

Quote from @John Kunick:

@Sunny Karen, I've been a long time investor in Tulsa and live here.  All of your characterizations of Tulsa area are correct (stable appreciation, not volatile, good cash flow, etc.).  It's a great place to live, raise a family and invest.  My only concern about your two deals is location.  While I can't tell unless I had specific addresses, Sand Spring and West Tulsa can be iffy.  There are some good areas and some bad areas.  But, your game plan sounds solid.
All of my "homeruns" have been in South Tulsa, Bixby and Broken Arrow.  Remember, "location, location, location"!


 Thank you John! Glad to hear about your long-experience with Tulsa market and insights.

I have been scouting the Broken Arrow area without too much success yet. With the current interest rates being cash-flow positive even with 20-25% down with conservative underwriting has been hard. The appreciation potential in these areas looks promising though.

What is your take on the Pratville area and the area north of the river around 4th and Grant in Sand Springs?

We are new to real-estate investing in the Tulsa area (have a couple properties in CA, MI)

Why Tulsa? Conservative appreciation, reasonable cash-flow and long-term outlook for the city looks good. No crazy growth and hopefully no crazy downfall. The economy looks to be slowly diversifying away from Oil and unemployment is low in OK. I consider it a hybrid for appreciation and cash-flow. We have friends and family in the area who can help out though we will be OOO and use a PM company.

We are mostly targeting SFH, Duplexes, Fourplexes. I am evaluating 2 deals out there, and was hoping to get feedback on.

3/2 duplex - new construction in Sand Springs neighborhood (hopefully low capex for first decade). Purchase price: $365K; Rents: 1600 * 2 (3200); With 25% down - PITI would run about ~$2200; Property Management (8%) + Vacancy (5%) + Capex & Maintenance (8%) - I would cash-flow about ~200/month.

2/2 duplex - new construction in West Tulsa neighborhood. Purchase price: $300K; Rents: 1250 * 2 (2500); With 25% down - PITI would run about ~$1800; Property Management (8%) + Vacancy (5%) + Capex & Maintenance (8%) - I would cash-flow about ~100/month.

Cash-flow right now isn't very important for us (as long as it's not negative). Our plan is to hold long term (10+ years) and likely pay it off in 5-10 years to act as supplemental retirement income which we plan to get to with a couple more properties paid-off in Tulsa eventually.

Would you pull the trigger on these two properties based on our goals? I trust the builder and will get a through inspection done.