Great question, @Arn Cenedella. Democrats controlling the senate will certainly make it easier for Biden to push his policy plans when he takes office. However, I feel there is an unwarranted fear about his plans. He might have some policies which hurt business, but like the stock market, I too am bullish on his overall impact on the economy and real estate.
OVERALL ECONOMY
Stimulus: with Democrats in power, we can expect to see more COVID relief, stimulus checks, small business relief and faster COVID control - all of which will help the economy in the short term (sidestepping any discussion of long term debt increases)
Infrastructure spending: most presidents promise this, but few deliver. If Biden lives up to his promises and boosts infrastructure spending on roads, bridges, etc. - it could help secondary and tertiary real estate markets grow faster
Economic Forecast: In general, I expect to see much higher short-term growth: higher stimulus package, lesser trade wars, focus on small business. The only caveat is i the new COVID variant spreads faster than expected - then more lockdowns (mostly in Blue states)/ slowdown is also likely in Q1 due to overwhelmed hospitals and delays in vaccine delivery
Capital Gains Tax: could increase from 21% to 28%. However, even if the Democrats decide to make this a legislative priority, I don’t see it happening before 2022, which the economy is still in COVID recovery
REAL ESTATE
Eviction Moratoriums: these will likely be extended – my guess is until Q2 or early Q3 – when the vaccine(s) are widely available and business starts returning to pre-COVID levels
1031 exchanges: Biden has mentioned he will restrict these for people with > $400K income. But I feel that this is unlikely to change, even democratic senators will not agree to undoing a critical legislation which incentivizes RE development esp. housing
Opportunity Zones: both Dems and Republicans want to keep these. However, Biden has mentioned that he wants better transparency on affordability, poverty and job creation => so we can expect more reporting and regulatory hurdles in OZ
AFFH (Fair Housing): Trump suspended / ended it in 2018. Biden will likely reimplement it – leading to more apartment zoning in the suburbs. But this will likely impact in 10-15 years, not immediately
Mortgage Rates: Biden will let the Feds drive this, so I won’t expect much change for the next couple of years, at the very least
Green Building: we might see additional incentives for green buildings and green development loans, likely with lower interest rates or tax credits