Hey Greg,
Hope you're having a great week so far! I'm a Realtor in the Seattle, WA area. We've noticed a slow down in purchases due to an increase in interest rates and subsequently, a plateau in pricing. In my opinion, that's a fantastic thing for buyers.
As little as a few months ago, we saw homes go for SIGNIFICANTLY over ask. Now, most go at or just below list, buyers don't have to waive much to ensure that their terms are better than their competition (largely because there aren't many multiple-offer situations anymore), and you might even see some seller concessions toward closing costs. I'm not licensed in TX and therefore don't have any experience in the Dallas market, but I'd assume you're starting to see some of the same market indicators there.
If you ask me, it's a great time to buy. Eliminating, or drastically decreasing, the probability of participating in a multiple offer scenario enables you as a buyer to have more leverage when it comes to negotiating price, terms, etc. Yes, you will more than likely pay more in interest right now, but when rates come back down (It's been predicted by a couple of sources that rates may be back down as low as mid 4% or so by next year), you can refinance at a lower rate, thus increasing your monthly profits on your investment property.
I have recommended to many of my clients that they take advantage of this highly unique opportunity in the market right now to secure a home and then refi later.
I have heard a lot of people concerned that we'll have a crash similar to '08. There's a difference between a credit bubble and a housing bubble. In '08, ARMs (adjustable rate mortgages) got people into a LOT of hot water triggering an unprecedented amount of foreclosures. A massive amount of checks, balances, laws, and regulations have been put in place on the lending world to prevent this from happening again.
What we're seeing these days relates directly to the Fed lowering interest rates to prop up the real estate industry through COVID which triggered a refi and purchase frenzy. Now that the frenzy has slowed due to the increase in rates (rates are still very reasonable nowadays, but certainly are nowhere the 2.5-3% that we saw during the pandemic), we've begun to hear more about a potential "crash". I honestly don't see it, but that is just my opinion. I'd be curious to see what others have to say.
Phew...I know that was a lot, but you hit on a great subject! Nice post, Greg!