Thanks for the responses so far!
I totally agree with almost all of your sayings: history only rhymes with its past; the "looking at the wrong ball" analogy. So good.
I'm totally coming from a learning angle, not from a future-predictor angle. I already picked out a couple of learnings:
- 20% equity sometimes isn't that much
- when it dropped, it fell, fast and hard
- cash is obviously king during tough times, and maybe you can even make money with gold when things are really bad
I like the most what Buffett said: be "fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful."
Do you guys still recall, for those lenders/brokers/etc. that somehow survived, in hindsight, what contributed to their "luck"? Economies of scale? Special clientele? Cashed out and went for vacation for 2 weeks, then came back and started buying a year later? My HELOC broker told me, at that time, if you had a HELOC balance, the repayment plan couldn't be changed, but the lender restricted most (or all) future borrowing. That's the best OPM cash to be had right there.
Love the replies. Not meant to stir up painful memory of yours. Only learning from the best of you all. Thanks!