@Christian Cramer Yes, it's true that it would be easier to develop another property outside of the SMA first. But opportunities don't always present themselves, and this property has a lot of potential (and given its proximity to future development plans). I think given the current market uncertainty, there could be some flexibility in the purchase price too, so an acquisition could be worth it in the long run (even with some hoops to jump through in the meantime).
@Duc Ong Hawaii properties are definitely high risk, but I agree the returns can be substantial.
Were I to pursue this project, it would be a limited partnership deal. My role would be to design it, then act as project manager of the consultants, and ultimately manage its construction (basically what I do every day with the firm). And I already have those working relationships. But I'd need a capital partner for the acquisition and closing costs, along with the fees associated with the SMA application / building permit (approx. $200k).
The financing would likely be easier to obtain if it were an owner-occupied purchase. Once the SMA hurdle is cleared, (about 5-6 months of red tape) and the building permit obtained (this could be expedited with a third party but that's more out of pocket money). While this is happening, the team would be finalizing schedule and construction docs. With the building permit acquired, the loan could be converted to a renovation loan (up to 4 units if using FHA). Construction would commence (8-9 months). Community documents / property management finalized while managing the construction. Ultimately own one, then sell the other three. Comps suggest each condo could sell for at least $2mm. And these would be oceanfront, so likely more. Given the total hard and soft costs involved ($3.5-$4mm based on projects I've worked on in the past) the potential return would be (conservative estimate) around $2mm.
Anyone have any insights / experience about the above? The SMA is the biggest risk, but in a worst-case scenario (the SMA permit is denied) the house could still be renovated (it's not in good shape) and sold. The seller already dropped their asking price $100k. With equity and renovations, it then becomes a flip project. Not as lucrative, but still a nice return when the market rebounds. Thoughts?