Skip to content
×
Pro Members Get
Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
ANNUAL Save 54%
$32.50 /mo
$390 billed annualy
MONTHLY
$69 /mo
billed monthly
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
×
Try Pro Features for Free
Start your 7 day free trial. Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties.
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Scott Trench

Scott Trench has started 159 posts and replied 2567 times.

Post: Impact of International Travelers Cancelling US Travel

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013
Quote from @V.G Jason:

I'm not sure which post to add but the thread started by @Scott Trench for some reason says it's locked or at least I am locked out. The Trump one. Not here to talk politics, just strategy. Can someone unlock it for me?

That thread is going to reveal the details that a lot of us mentioned. Think RE will face some reckoning soon, but everything else is pointing to austerity.

Our Treasury Secretary just said this past weekend.

" Wall Street has done great, it can continue doing well, but it's main street's turn. It's main street's turn. And that's what we saw yesterday."

Tell me that isn't as clear as day. We'll disagree on the long term view of BTC but James, some others in the Trumpcession view like John & Henry Clark have been spot on. Its incredible the knowledge of this board. As a retired CTA and not to toot my horn, but one of the best CTAs too--some say since George Washington--the macro views is simply off the charts. Better than institutional money or "smart" money.

Something to continue to keep an eye on is oil like i mentioned before to @Alan F. , but also copper. If it breaks any support, forget the USA recession but global will need to follow especially after this YTD rally.

I hope we don't u turn and then throw Bessent under the bus. This is the right play especially since he inherited such a disastrous situation. Shame on "smart" money running the count thinking DJT 2025 is DJT 2017. Different game. 10 year down we go as I'm seeing leveraged RE as an investor touching 6% rates. Just need the absolute value to adjust a little in non primo.

Hopefully, Main Street does get back into it.


Weird - I'm not sure how the thread got locked. It's unlocked.

Post: Fake market pricing

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

Let us know how this works out! 

I bet Cali real estate is among the best performers in the country in 2025, with a combination of lower new supply, and the "boomerang" effect of California people who moved to Texas, Florida, and other sunbelt and southern states packing up and moving back, back to Cali, Cali. 

The call of the business friendly Texas market sounds incredible... right up until you realize that with that comes insects the size of rodents, snakes, heat and humidity that have you perspire in mere moments, and property taxes that in many cases are even higher than what they left behind in California. 

No knock on Texas and Florida - just a statement of reality that California is an incredible place to live, and many who experience it, can't stay away. 

Let's circle back in 12 months and see how it goes! I am often wrong. 

Post: Why I Encourage San Diego Locals to Invest Here First (Even if It’s More Expensive)

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

I once spoke at a San Diego Meetup. 

In attendance were a bunch of folks from San Francisco, because, of course, the cash flow in San Diego was excellent. 

The San Diego folks wanted to invest in Denver and were curious about the better cash flow here. 

And, here in Denver, the locals want to invest somewhere to the East in the mid-west, because there is no cash flow to be found here. 

But, the folks who invest for the long-term in San Diego, San Francisco, and Denver all seem to be rich within a reasonable band, offering them an excellent quality of life. 

I know few folks who have invested 1,000s of miles from where they live (they do exist - I do know them, but they are rare), who built substantial wealth through real estate.

Backyard is best, unless you make the out of state location you invest a meaningful part of your portfolio and life. 

I have no trouble believing that those who invest in San Diego, specifically, and hold for the next 15 years will be rewarded beautifully. A different reward, but potentially better, than their peers in other places around the country, and certainly better than most of their peers who live near them in San Diego, who pick locations thousands of miles away that they otherwise have little ties to.

Post: This is why I invested.

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

We are obviously not going to take this down. 

I'm sorry to hear this terrible news, Nathan. Very best to you and your wife. Aside from this link, please let us know how we can help.

Post: Is it a Buyer's Market in your niche/town?

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

I have definitely heard that it is still a seller's market through and through in Oregon and Western Washington!

Post: Is it a Buyer's Market in your niche/town?

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

Just trying to see if it's a Buyer's Market out there yet for folks - I think it is for me, specific to Denver Multifamily priced over $750K.

Post: Biggerpockets and AI

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

Look for the ScottBot in 2026. 

Post: I wanna invest in notes

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

I understand that, while it can be done, notes are a poor way to turn a small amount of capital into a large amount of capital, unless one masters the art of turning a non-performing note into a performing one... which is a skillset that likely coincides with dealing with individuals going through some of the worst parts of their lives. 

I think of note investing, rather, as a great way to turn several hundred thousand dollars into several thousand dollars of reasonably high probability income, while having a reasonably high probability of not seeing a loss of principal. 

I'm not sure why anyone would think that this is a great approach with $20-$30K, or how an expensive course could possibly result in material risk/return adjustments for a note investor.

However, I had the (now chiseled into BiggerPockets' Mount Rushmore) great @Jay Hinrichs help me out on my first note (thank you!!). So, that is a material advantage - and perhaps others are willing to pay for a friendly look over the shoulder on the first one with some of these gurus.

Post: The Bigger Pockets Mount Rushmore

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013

@Andrew Syrios I've actually gone the opposite direction and am growing a 'stache to go with my for now full head of hair

Post: The Bigger Pockets Mount Rushmore

Scott Trench
Posted
  • President of BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 2,710
  • Votes 6,013
Quote from @Andrew Syrios:
Quote from @Nathan Gesner:

Why are the Top 3 all bald?


Hair has always been an impediment to real estate investing. That's why I'm not up there with you all... 

Holy moly! The top four ARE all bald!