Quote from @Jonathan Feliciano:
Hi BP Community,
I recently read in an article that Cleveland, OH, is one of the few remaining cities with affordable housing.
To those who have invested in real estate here, what's your opinion on the Cleveland market? Have you made a decent profit / cash flow in this city?
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I have not invested in Cleveland, but I'm going to throw in my unsolicited 2 cents anyway.
Affordable is always relative. If an area is considered "the last affordable city" after the big run up in prices we recently had, I'd be concerned. Basic supply and demand would dictate either supply rising greater than demand or a significant lower demand, or a more-likely somewhere in-between. Either way, it would be concerning to me, as an investor. It would cause me to do some deep diving into specific stats to try and reveal the general story. Like trends in population, business, income, housing supply, etc.
As always it comes down to an investor’s specific goals. Are they looking for cash flow exclusively, moderate to high appreciation potential, or both, etc.
Typically, with more “affordable” markets, you get better relative cash flow but also more intensive management concerns (vacancy, collection, maintenance, turnover, etc) and less appreciation. And to get the #’s most people want, would require more doors (higher quantity), and therefore more time/energy intensive mgt issues. And that is moving further away from “passive.” I, personally, would rather have better quality than quantity, with reasonable nominal returns. But, the real challenge and skill, is in recognizing future opportunity today, or creating it with value-add opportunities.
I, personally, have owned “affordable” rentals in other areas, which appeared to cash flow relatively well, only to sell them almost 2 decades later for a loss or about even. And generally, they took longer to rent, longer to sell, cost relatively similar (maybe moderately less) to repair and rehab as other less affordable areas, and had more turnover than desired.
I also have a good friend/investor who owned over 100 sfr doors in the Detroit area that they were acquiring amazingly cheap, then rehabbing them. He was unpleasantly surprised with the management/collection/vacancy/repairs challenges there were on them, which drastically cut down his returns, raised his stress level, etc, and he had a long difficult time finding an avenue to exit owning them. I believe he did relatively well, but he wasn’t aware of the journey it was going to be.
That said, there are good opportunities in every market and the skill is in recognizing them and/or find those local experts/teams to help find and take advantage of those opportunities. But, if you look at affordable markets just because they are “affordable,” you may look back one day and realize they weren’t as “affordable” as they appeared. It may be like the metaphor of the drunk guy looking for his lost keys where the street light is, even though he lost them somewhere else. Maybe the lesson is to use a flashlight, or someone else’s, and search where your keys are more likely to be or wait until the sun s comes out.
Most seasoned investors will tell you that real wealth is made through appreciation. Ask yourself, do you want a $100k house that is worth $150k in some future time, or would you rather have a $250k house worth $375k in the same time period.