Quote from @Alan Asriants:
Quote from @Mark Cruse:
Quote from @Alan Asriants:
Quote from @Mark Cruse:
Quote from @Alan Asriants:
Quote from @Stuart Udis:
I am happy to see this subject is being discussed and particularly hope those just getting started take the time to read the different viewpoints. Unfortunately cash flow and unit count are the two metrics most are taught to chase which leads to buying in the lowest barrier markets lacking any fundamentals that are indicative of creating any true net worth or gains (with limited exceptions). From my observations its usually the individuals offering mentorship or coaching who teach this because its the easiest way to show success and justify their fees despite the students winding up with lousy assets.
Many also promote their unit count to raise capital from inexperienced real estate investors who don't know any better and equate unit count to success and track record. How many syndicators or GP's "manage", "control" or "oversee" hundreds or thousands of units, but don't OWN their portfolios? I believe the worst representation I came across was an investor in my market, Philadelphia who purportedly owned hundreds of units but all I could find were a few small 3-6 unit multi-family buildings. It turned out he was also involved in a storage unit building with small 3'x5' lockers renting for $100/m.... and those were included in his "unit" count.
Exactly. Having 20 units in a D class area where have of the properties are falling apart and the value of the combined portfolio is 1M is not as impressive as 4 units in a solid A class area that have plenty of potential of improving in value and provide solid and stable returns.
Not that literal but I get what you are saying over all. The class A will give you a lot less headaches and there are great opportunities and probability for appreciation. However, there are people who can operate in the class D arena so I wouldnt dismiss it. If I had the choice in the two id have to do a serious assessment of both. So much goes into it. I really didnt know you could get 20 units for a million anywhere but oh well. What if gentrification hits that 20 unit? What if I can add so much value I can pushed that cash flow to over $500 a door? The amount of leveraging can be astronomical where I can add higher classes to diversify the portfolio. If you know how to operate in the lower level, depending on the scenario you can come out ahead. I get it in theory though and most cannot effectively operate effectively on the other levels.
What if you win the lottery? I don't invest in real estate based on what ifs.
Class A is what it is for a reason just like Class D is.
It appears you didnt grasp my point. I dont invest in what ifs either unless I have evaluated the situation. Since I can operate in any class it would be intelligent for me to assess them both as opposed to declaring Id rather have 4 than 20. The 20 could be a much more profitable and professional acquisition. I provided scenarios where one would clearly out perform the other and if you are an experienced investor who knows how to buy and operate, you will be ahead.
I guess that is the main difference. I cannot operate in D class. It would be pretty black and white for me in terms of 4 units in Class A or 20 units in Class D.
Of course if we started to blur the lines and look at similar classes of RE, then it would need to be an analysis. I am always more keen on finding deals with some sort of value add, so likely this is all speculation. Its hard to make a clear point when you expand things further and add in other variables.
My point was that you mentioned - what if gentrification hits the area. Again, this is like playing the lottery. A lot has to go right for gentrification of that scale to take place. I don't think its fair to bring up a what if, if you don't invest in what ifs.
Just like most things in life, if you know, you know... And it's hard to convince people otherwise.
@Alan Asriants I feel you have not/will not try lower quality and will focus on higher quality assets. That's cool and it is good strategy. Keeping your buy box black and white is commendable. But I feel you may have missed out on some positive qualities of lower class areas and higher door counts.
@Mark Cruse I totally understand your philosophy. I agree with your evaluation of quality, quantity, and potential of greater gains by leveraging management experience to maximize profit on greater door count. I am not only convinced, but I KNOW the outcome is astronomically greater if you can operate well.
I have operated in both A, B, C, and D areas. I can tell you that there is more value to C and D areas than you think. It is directly tied to cash flow, which is what the end goal for most of us. I would like to believe that I am not a collector of properties, so having a few trophy class A properties will not do it for me. Appreciation in class A is not going to put food on the table right away. The lower cost to entry in C and D areas can jump strat your journey with higher door count and better leverage. If management skills were equal, you would build value much quicker in a class C and D area because you are able to force appreciate more units for trade into more or better quality quicker.
For reference, without going into exact door count, I traded a few A and B assets for C and D assets to expand door count. It allowed enough cash flow to take on more risks and expand even further. I now have mostly B and C assets, with a light sprinkle of C- and may be a D, that I recently acquired in an area that will surely gentrify quickly. Its an additional influence that will more than likely multiply it's value, above and beyond what I can do with management experience. The move from A and B to C and D using leverage to expand door count allow for FI from a six figure job and six figure pension in just a couple of years. And as Mark stated, you can bring that higher door count in the lower class area from $100 to $500 a month cash flow with the right management systems.
I'm a father of 3 young kids, and I did not make that decision lightly. But the stability from door count gave me the confidence to make that move. It's not as management intensive as many would make it out to be. It got me to the point where I could take risks in other people's start up ventures, think about a second home, dabble in outside of apartments and into strip malls, etc... It does require some management/operation skills to achieve that level of passivity. When I look back at the time freedom I have gained from leaving the workforce, I keep on kicking myself in the butt for not figuring it out a few decades earlier. Because had I focused solely on quality and closed my buy box in a black and white fashion, I would probably still be forced to keep working even after 10 years of investing. And forget about syndications... With the amount of income from working, I would still be working if I went in to syndications and those door counts are meaningless.
This is a healthy exercise. Discussing door count as a conversation piece has opened the door to much more nuances that is very educational. I hope that people who are following the thread get a good taste of operators from both sides. Thanks @Dave Meyer for rehashing this conversation piece.