@Wes Blackwell , thank you for telling me why I moved, even though you are flat out wrong.
Originally posted by @Wes Blackwell:
@Ryan B.
The reason Stockton was never on your radar and never would be was because you ended up purchasing in an area where the median home price is three times Stockton's (Walnut Creek = $877k, Stockton = $270k).
I didn't buy in Walnut Creek, we rent. I can't afford a $900k house here. My wife and I chose to rent in Walnut Creek vs. moving further away, where affordability is better, because we both work in SF and Oakland. Proximity to the city is an important issue. Like I said, I would never consider moving to Stockton because its too far away to still work in the Bay Area (not because of median home prices like you are insisting). We would rather rent and work/live close to the city than buy and move out of the bay area. You started this post because your theory is that 30 somethings living in the city will move out when starting a family, and that they will move to Stockton for affordability. As someone who was in this exact situation, and knows many friends in the exact situation, I am telling you it simply isn't true. No one wants to move to Stockton, because as @Matt K. mentions, the commute would be 1.5+ hours each way.
It sounds like you are pivoting to lower wage earners being the influx of demand for Stockton, which could very well be the case. However, it started out as Stockton being the next big thing due to SF transplants. I just don't see that happening.