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All Forum Posts by: Robert Fisher

Robert Fisher has started 9 posts and replied 24 times.

Post: Growth rates of city property and suburb properties.

Robert FisherPosted
  • Professional
  • Alameda, CA
  • Posts 24
  • Votes 1

The reason I ask this question is, I noticed some properties

Post: Growth rates of city property and suburb properties.

Robert FisherPosted
  • Professional
  • Alameda, CA
  • Posts 24
  • Votes 1
Originally posted by @Eoin Matthews:

while @steve b. is removing his tongue from his cheek, there are a few different ways to look at sf/bay area in the long term. if you are looking for relevant metrics, it's pretty easy to do some modeling based on zillow's published research data -- it will let you get pretty granular so that you can compare zips in areas that might have similar urban/suburban growth disparities in recent years (esp nyc, la).

 Hi, yas, i can do a sampling exercise, just wondering if this had been done before so i dont need to reinvent the wheel.

Post: Growth rates of city property and suburb properties.

Robert FisherPosted
  • Professional
  • Alameda, CA
  • Posts 24
  • Votes 1
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:

closer to employment centers and higher paying jobs.  seems like the shorter the commute the higher the prices.. then you have schools  big factor in the Bay  AREA

 Thanks for your reply.  Taking all the factors above, suppose a 1500 house costs 700k in santa rosa while a virtually same house costs 1 mil in daly city today 2015, in say 2035, will the ratio of the two prices still be around 7:10?  Or can it possibly go to say 5:10 or even 3:10?

Post: Growth rates of city property and suburb properties.

Robert FisherPosted
  • Professional
  • Alameda, CA
  • Posts 24
  • Votes 1

It would seem city properties (for example those in SF or Silicon Valley) increase in value more than the surrounding suburb properties (for example, Sonoma, Contra Costa counties).  But I wonder if that's just from isolated periods of market activities and in the long run the average growth rates are similar?

There should be a periodic "spill over" effect when city property prices becomes too unaffordable, no?  Thus leading to suburb prices catching up.

Are there any analysis on this?