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All Forum Posts by: Rich Miller

Rich Miller has started 2 posts and replied 9 times.

Quote from @Travis Timmons:

@Rich Miller It's not worthless. I just found that it was not as complete or packaged as I was hoping for $200/month. You'll find data on a bunch of smaller markets, college towns, and cities. It, just like airdna, rabbu, or others, is still just a starting point. You have develop some expertise or specific market knowledge.

Then you have to write a check. And after that, you have to start writing more checks and doing the hard work of setting a property up for success. It's really hard and expensive to get a short term rental up and going. Everyone sees the big numbers and returns but very few folks want to hear about how stressful and expensive it is before you make a dime of revenue. The underserved markets and desired returns mentioned don't have turn key, furnished properties. Most properties are going to need at least a light renovation and furnishing. You're going to be stuck in the "holy crap, we're spending so much money...this better work" stage for 3-6 months. It sucks in the beginning.


 @Travis Timmons Thanks so much for such a detailed reply... You've given me a lot to chew on.

Quote from @Travis Timmons:

I wouldn't do the work of getting a short term rental off of the ground for less than 20% CoC. You have to do your own research and find underserved markets to find that now, though. There are plenty of places where you can find garbage properties that have heavily booked calendars.

I've paid for STR insights. Their data is fine, but not as earth shattering as their founder makes it sound on podcast interviews. It was $199 for a month, which I canceled after a few weeks. The biggest variable in the data is the average price for a home in particular markets. It's so fickle and specific - even within a particular market - it's hard to find a median home price that works across a city/town. If the median home price is $200k, that does not mean that the median home in a STR zoned area or a location that would do well as an STR is going to cost $200k. I didn't really learn anything new or earth shattering.

Bottom line is that you have to develop some domain expertise, do your own research, and spend some time stalking comparable airbnb/vrbo properties to see how they perform over time. You can get 20% CoC, but it's not going to be in the popular markets mentioned on BP.

 @Travis Timmons I was going to look into STR insights as well. Did you find that it at least points to potential underserved markets? My gut feeling was to not move in the same direction as the herd.

Quote from @Dave Stokley:

When I'm helping clients find places we're typically targeting 15% or more. 25% is exceptional. There's a company called STR Insights that I think is trying to use data to identify markets.


 Thanks Dave. I'll check it out. I like big data sets to make informed decisions. I want to be early to the party in a market rather than chasing the herd

Quote from @John Underwood:

20% is good, but it really depends on your personal goals.


 Well that's easy. My personal goal is to find the most bang for my buck.

Quote from @Monica Mejia:

Hi Rich! This is a great question. Here in the CO market we are seeing an average COC return of about 15% - 25%. Just to give a reference point, the COC return for investing into the stock market is about 10%.

Well, I am comparing STR to other asset classes such as the stock market. But 10% would be more like the total return for stocks including dividends. The CoC for a STR is more like a stock dividend which is typically only 2-3% Where in CO you seeing those STR CoC returns at that level?

I was talking with an agent regarding the PCB, FL area and they told me this and it seemed a little off the mark:

"If you look into investment properties, a lot of experts will say that anything above 3% is a good cash return. Of course this varies by market, but even Airbnb says that their best properties are 4-5%+ coc return. Short term rentals are just not a high Coc return investment - we consider them a great asset in that you are gaining renter paid equity, appreciation the longer you have it and major tax benefits by managing it yourself.

Fix and flips really are going to be your big money makers for short term in this market."

I realize there are lots of variables at play, but what are some ballpark CoC returns one could expect with this strategy? I've heard mentions of 25% CoC returns but have not seen it in the handful of analysis that I've done. Does Pricelabs or Airdna reveal insights to best CoC market rankings?

Quote from @Raymond J. Rodrigues:

Hello @Rich Miller, I have personally worked with @January Johnson and her partner @Napoleon DeCiutiis. I highly suggest reaching out to them. They will definitely be able to assist you in the areas you have mentioned with your investment needs! I hope this recommendation helps, as I am sure it will! 


 @Raymond J. Rodrigues thanks for the recommendation.

I know there is the "Find an Agent" section on this site, but can someone give a personal recommendation for an agent who knows STRs and is knowledge in the Fort Walton Beach, Panama City Beach, Mexico Beach area?