What a great discussion going on here and it comes at a time when I’m trying to fine tune my math. In my cash on cash I’m using the following metrics to arrive at a price in which I would buy (with a loan):
Closing-
Down payment (20%)-
Interest (erring on the high side)-
Tax (looking ahead 2-3 years)-
Insurance (erring on the high side)-
Capex/repairs (looking ahead 10 years)-
Rent (the lowest I’d expect to get)
I determine the total out of pocket and then I divide that by net income (annually) for my cash on cash number. The percentage one is willing to accept is a totally personal thing, I feel 10%+ makes it a good deal.
I live in NJ. Trying to find something with a 10% return usually has me anywhere between 25-100K below the asking in a market where it’s likely for the seller to get the asking.
One thing that is confusing to me is using appreciation in their formula. My math is based on a buy and hold, a long term rental, not selling an appreciated house. To me appreciation is just speculation anyway. If I do end up selling, I consider appreciation and the principle that has been paid down as icing on the cake (if in fact the value of the home had increased).
I am fairly new at this. Maybe my math and thinking is way off. I do feel that it has prevented me from getting into what I had perceived as a few bad deals. If anyone has any criticism I’m all ears.