I just have to put in my 2 cents.
@Wes Blackwell has put together a compelling case backed by statistics, articles, hard work and pretty thorough analysis. His information does give a unique perspective and for the period of time I was reading this it really made me wonder if liquidating my portfolio this year was the right move. Would i be missing out on another 6-8% potential appreciation if i sold now? Possibly.
Wes is not saying buy and hold in stockton. I believe he's saying this is a good year, possibly even the next year or two will be good years to be owners in stockton as people get priced out of other markets.
Does Stockton have issues? heck ya. Is there more room to rise? I honestly believe so, and that's even before Wes showed the analysis that strengthens my thoughts on this market cycle.
Who is investing in Detroit? That city's been wracked to hell and back with the financial crisis and is now expected to continue to rise out of the ashes.
I'm not trying to do a side by side comparison, but if you see problem cities that have hit rock bottom, like Stockton, like Detroit, there's money to be made!! These are the opportunities for those who have the mental fortitude to take a chance..
But it's like gambling at a casino, i'm going to put a good chunk of change on red, closing my eyes and hoping like hell i don't lose it all.
I happen to be in a different situation in regards to Stockton. I've made my money and i have plans for it. But if i didn't have plans for it would i stick it out in Stockton? Possibly for another year or two.
I also have the concern that when the market turns, Stockton will get hit again, there's just not enough job growth to sustain this economy. Some jobs may be going there now but how will that sustain in a downturn. Only time will tell, but history gives us some good lessons.
If you want to invest in Stockton.. read this forum! Do so with your eyes open and have your exit strategies planned out in advance.. but Stockton is not another Sacramento.. not from what i've seen.
Thanks to everyone who's posted on this thread, its truly enlightening to hear everyone's opinions.