First off, thank you to everyone for your input! I have adjusted my numbers based on a number of your suggestions and now the property shows to cash flow at -$194/mo! Even if I got the house for $140K, I'm still only at 2.37% COC. The interest rate (5.2%), property management (10%), CapEx (10%), Vacancy (8.3%), and Maintenance (7.5%) absolutely kill the deal. In this case the 1% rule ($200K renting for $2K) absolutely fails miserably. I'm a bit perplexed, but I have to hand it to the community here at BP. Y'all overwhelmed me with responses, thank you all for taking the time!
Thanks for taking the time to respond in depth, and for your opinion! I will tweak my numbers and reassess.
This is technically a 1% Rule follower (200K renting for 2k).
@James De Stefano
5.75!!! Yikes, maybe my number is too conservative... I'll use 5.2 for the moment. I saw that rates were at the 7 year high this week.
@Wesley Williams
I appreciate your viewpoint, and you are correct. The numbers need to be good even with 10% management fee plugged in. The numbers are not looking good lol.
@Krishna Chava
I think this is really good advice. Sadly, the duplexes that hit the MLS are gone instantly (a day or two, with multiple offers), and at full market value or even pretty close to ARV. Looks like I'm going to need to start "driving for dollars" and getting my mail marketing going...
@Roger S.
I live in Arlington, within Kennedale ISD, and my rate is 2.79%. Even if I take 2.7% of the appraised value (220k) I still come up with $6k in taxes. I feel like this is a solid conservative number. As for the insurance, my house is 5 years old, market value of $270k and my insurance is $865. I'll bump to $1200 to be safe. I'm guessing insurance goes up the older the home is? This would actually make some sense... Thanks for the comment!
@Ken Nyczaj
The house is only 37 years old. You may have been looking at the SF number instead of the year? I've bumped up my maintenance number.
@Account Closed
What is a "land play"? I have adjusted my capex up to 10%. Thanks for the comment! Don't think I can convince the wife to go for a house hack. Infant child and we are living in a 5 year old home with many luxuries that we would definitely lose by going for a house hack.
@Brian Ellis
I haven't actually gone in the house yet. I have a walk through in the next few days. I will definitely know more after that. I'm hoping that since it is in a nice neighborhood that it wont need a whole lot done. House looks great from the outside haha!