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All Forum Posts by: Mary Cronin

Mary Cronin has started 1 posts and replied 18 times.

Post: End of year rant

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

Happy New Year all,

I'm glad to hear that I'm not alone - when you get a response from a realtor that the price I'm thinking about is not rational enough times, one begins to think it's me that's crazy and not the seller (or their even wackier realtor).

Mary

Post: End of year rant

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

Thank you for your replies.

Do these people blindly "invest" without knowing what they're doing? Multi-family properties do not appreciate - you can force "appreciation" by decreasing vacancy, raising rents or lowering expenses - thus increasing income, but not by a bubble in the market.

If it was rare for people to blindly throw money at an "investment" I might just shake my head - but this seems to be all too common (and what's with the HML???).

I do note that none of these have sold, so I'm not the only person who refused to bite. I guess I can wait and put an offer in at the foreclosure sale or at the estate sale when they have depleted their funds feeding their alligators.

Mary

Post: End of year rant

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

Is it just me?

I look at most multi-family deals I come across - and most are in California - but all the same ...

Why do "investors" pay 2x or more for buildings?

Examples ...

Small town - 14k pop - 7 unit; sellers paid $499k; for sale for $299k; 2-0/1 @$425/mo, 2-1/1 @ $450 and 3-2/1 @ $525; 50% expenses, 1 unit vacant needing rehab before renting - worth by my estimation about $200k at tops using seller's numbers and rehab estimates.

Same town - new development on riverfront (remote area on the Sacramento River) put $5.525M into 12 units (all 3/2) short sale for $5.5m hard money @ 12%. Nice unit config but worth around $675k by seller's numbers if generous with cap rate

My town: 11 units @~$595k as a short sale; 4-1/1, 7-2/1; 3 section 8 tenants paying the highest rents so some upside in rents; paying both resident manager and management company (upside if get rid of resident manager); paid $600k; short sale for loan balance plus arrearages totaling ~$595k; now in foreclosure and still wants full asking. I put value around $390k by seller's numbers

My town: 190 units in best school district asking $9.5m, 21% vacancy, worth ~ $4.5m at 6% cap rate. Upside if vacancy filled. ($9.5m was a drop from original $12.5m)

My town: 29 units @ $1.63m all 1/1 at market rents; no remodeling since built in early 60s so not a lot of appeal to tenants. In best school district, but not big enough for families.

Nearby town: 32 units, paid $1.250m in 2007; asking $3.5m - decent mix; most rents at or close to market; only vacancy is resident manager's unit; good condition; etc. 5.96% cap rate but no foreseeable upside

With my investors wanting 9-12% COCR, I'm not finding anything worth buying. Half of the ones I find have negative cash flow to boot.

RE friends have said it was San Francisco Bay Area people applying San Francisco numbers to their investment, so they accept negative cash flow, and paying too much. I can do better with 8% dividend paying pipeline companies.

So, am I crazy?

I know, I know - look elsewhere.

Mary

Post: Just wondering everybody's education/background?

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

I'm just starting to do this full time:
BS Genetics
JD (Law degree but not licensed)

Worked in law then quit to take care of brain injured spouse, then in small business. Then back to law, now RE.

Mary

Post: Real Estate LLCs and How to Run Them

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

You might check out Mark Kohler's web site and radio show - Tuesdays at 11 Pacific. markjkohler.com

He's an attorney and CPA who specializes in RE investing.

I think he'd ask what kind of investing you will be doing as the self employment tax ramifications are very different between an LLC and an S corp. (all income in LLC subject to SE Tax? and not in S Corp is what I remember).

You should definitely check before you act. If you already have an LLC, his office frequently converts them to S Corp.

Post: Feedback on First Deal

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

If these are pre-owned condos - try for owner financing and avoid banks, qualifying etc.

Post: How can I get financing?

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

Sure. Look for owner finance, lease option or other creative financing method.

Maybe you need to research creative financing.

Post: Value of Rental Income

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

It's not added in - value is based on net income/cap rate with the cap rate being the expected rate of return - low in stable high value areas and high in more risky areas -

eg
100000 net income at 6% cap rate = $1.66...M
100000 net income at 14% cap rate = $714k

Same income, different risks, different values. The formula is:

Value = NOI/cap rate

Bear in mind that most investors need the following:

8% cap rate minimum
12% cash on cash return (COCR)
1.6 debt service coverage ratio (net income/annual debt payments) if they are going to finance purchase.

Post: Analysis Advice

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

I don't know why I'm finding this thread so annoying - it could be the cold I'm suffering from - or I could just be cranky.

Peter - if the gist of your post was whether it was smart to buy a home in LV now vs later, then my response is go for it! Just don't pay any more than 65 or 75% and expect a further drop in the market. This will probably prove to be the best time in a generation to buy.

Rob K - I subscribed to Bigger Pockets for real estate investing information not a holier than thou bash fest on one of its members. As for your post ... a clear violation of what? Some ethical bank's rules? Is this one of the ethical banks that bundled mortgages without documentation and sold to hedge funds across the planet eventually bringing down Lehman Bros and who knows how many others in the process?

Are these the banks that demanded appraisers appraise properties at the asking price so as to justify the loan they were willing to give on the property even though any sane person would know the property was overvalued? (And refused to give them work driving honest appraisers out of business for refusing to play; Realtors were complicit in this, too.) Makes me wonder what credibility we should put on the appraisals we're getting now. I assume you also object to purchasing property subject-to since it violates the Due on Sale clause?

Are these the same banks that are sitting on vacant houses and being fined $1000/day for failing to maintain them? It'd be different if they actually tried to sell them, but some in my town have been vacant for years. Perhaps they can't find the notes? ... The banks seem to be selling the higher end ones - for what? To jack up the national price averages so we gullible people will actually believe that housing is getting better? (and coincidentally creating bidding wars to fraudulently increase prices?)

Ann Bellamy - you are quick to call Peter a fraud. I wonder if you know the definition of fraud. Not only a misstatement of material fact (an outright lie or a fact that someone will misconstrue) but also an omission of material fact. If you're an attorney or legally trained, I suggest that your omission of that is a form of fraud. If you're not, then aren't you practicing law without a license?

In checking how many Peter Lees there are in NV it makes me wonder - are you a cop?

Regarding the lease: if the banks would work with borrowers in doing loan modifications, people would have have to resort to such arrangements.

Scott W - ditto Rob & Anne comments - but the same question - what law do you think Peter violated?

Jeff Smith - So if Peter had filed bankruptcy to cram down a loan modification, you'd be happy?

To all - what does any of this have to do with Peter's investing question?

As a matter of full disclosure, I am trained as a lawyer, but not licensed nor practicing. I worked as an associate (before licensing) for over 8 years 50% in real estate law, but quit to care for brain injured husband for the next 7.

Further, I don't know Peter (nor anyone else on this post) and don't know anything about his situation other than what he revealed here. Somehow I don't see how any of it is relevant to his question about buying a house or about investing in general.

I'm also trained as a geneticist, but never worked in it - didn't want to be a lab monkey.

Real estate investing is far more interesting except for the people trying to turn it into a moral play.

FWIW

Mary
Cranky in Stockton, CA - one of the foreclosure capitals of America

Post: Agent steering us away from short sales, foreclosures, etc

Mary CroninPosted
  • Wholesaler
  • Stockton, CA
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 5

Make lemonade :-)

Look at nearby markets for the next 60 days that are not included in the contract.

Mary