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All Forum Posts by: Joshua Woolls

Joshua Woolls has started 8 posts and replied 158 times.

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64
Originally posted by @Jimmy Humphrey:

For sake of comparison, I find it interesting that in the brokerage world, the most margin (leverage) they are willing to grant investors is 50%.  Especially considering that the brokerage firm has the ability to call the margin and force a sale once the stock moves too sharply to the downside to protect their interest. It's amazing to see the different degrees of risk various folks are willing to assume or allow.

Lending on real property is quite a bit different than lending on stocks. The value of a stock is backed up with figures and numbers(which may or may not be real, ask Enron investors) whereas the value of real estate lies in Real property. If you are lending to a stock investor and the company goes bankrupt, you are left holding paper. If you are lending to a real estate investor and they go bankrupt you have property.

Maybe I am just biased towards real estate...

Originally posted by @Dale Bowrin:

Thanks for the feedback. I've reached out to several 'big name banks" in the past but to no avail. I will keep on looking

 Forget the national banks. Look for one of the smaller regional guys. They tend to resell their loans. Because of the unique nature of the type of loan you are looking for, you are going to need a bank that keeps things in house. Credit unions may be a consideration as well.

Originally posted by @Dale Bowrin:

I would like to use at least one of my investment properties to get a loan to purchase one or 2 more properties before the end of the year. 

I own several mortgage free properties in GA. They're worth about 50K a piece. Are you aware of any banks or lenders who would grant me a loan to purchase 1-2 more investment properties?

Despite what Johnathan and Alex said, I don't think it is quite as easy as just going to any local bank. I just went through something similar. I have 300k worth of rentals that I own free and clear. I went to about 20-25 banks (the majority local) before I found one that would lend on my properties. I had a few that would lend, but they would only give 50-80k and I was looking for 150-180k. I kept plugging though and finally, one of the banks that I reached out to referred me to another bank where a friend worked. Once I got in touch with this bank it only took about 2 weeks and everything was extremely easy. They also gave me a really solid rate.

I have quite a bit of equity. I have relatively little debt compared to my income. And I have a pretty fair credit score. A couple of times I laughed out loud when I got answers back from banks and they told me their reasons for not being able to make something work... I get it though. Real estate has burned them in the past and they want to make sure they protect their money.

Keep plugging. you will find something. I would literally stop in every local bank I passed for a couple of weeks(I am on the road for my day job).

Post: New member from Michigan

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64

Awesome. This is a great community. Don't hesitate to post here if you have any questions. There are many here who love to help.

Good luck!

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64

 My biggest issue is that people who would normally be more conservative may be convinced that they are doing it wrong and change the way they invest because of the articles. Haha, that's why conversations like the ones here are awesome. 

I agree with you entirely. I wish that I was in a position 4-5 years ago to load up. I knew it was the time to do so, I just was not in a position to invest at the time. We are currently acquiring properties (Cash flows are too good not to in my market) but I am keenly aware of where we are right now with regards to the market right now as well and I try to invest accordingly.

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64
Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Joshua Woolls:

1.) I know the rents in the area. I know the expenses of these homes. It is pretty damn easy to guesstimate an NOI, when it is the same damn 1100 Sq ft brick ranch, over and over and over. Are my numbers exact? No. Do they need to be? No.

2.) I am using cost of the home!!! It's market value is literally what it sells for on the open market!!!

3.) In my area I shoot for a CAP rate over 14-15% on SFR. I suppose what is considered a high CAP depends on the area.

I assure you my spreadsheets calculations aren't useless. I "use" them daily and they help me make informed decisions on what a good investment is. If that's useless to you, so be it. I am not investing for your benefit.

1. You are guesstimating NOI. What are each of your guesstimated expenses?

2.  "Cost" of the home?  Can you clarify, is this asking price?

3.  I asked earlier for cap rate comps from sales other than yours.  Do you have any.  Just because YOU shoot for 14-15% does not mean that is high for the area.

1.) My guesstimated expenses are based on other properties in the area. It's not hard and it's pretty damn accurate. 

2.) Of course I use the asking price. If you assessing properties to buy, you always start with asking price. If the numbers don't work at the asking price, you determine if you can get to a price where they do work. I assure you that if the expected CAP rate in your area is 6% not every property sells for NOI/6%. It just does not work like that.

3.)It's very, very easy to see what properties rent for in an area. A little research on Zillow, Craigslist and Rent-o-meter will give you a pretty damn good idea. A couple of phone calls works too. It's also pretty damn easy to see what properties sell for. The MLS, Zillow, Tax records all have this info.

I'm pretty tired of this discussion. If you are using CAP rate in a different way, more power to you. That does not mean I am wrong. It's a valuation formula that helps you make educated decisions. It can be used to determine if an investment is a good one, or it can be used to properly value a property for sale. I am really sorry if you disagree.

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64
Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Joshua Woolls:

As for using CAP rate, when I am evaluating properties, I have a spreadsheet. I plug in. Cost and expenses and it shoots out a CAP rate. It's not hard. If I see a high CAP rate, I start to look closer at the property and ask questions. It's not hard. Are these perfect? Nope, but I know the areas I buy in and they are pretty damn close. Are there other things I consider? Hell yeah.

There is no reason why you cannot use a CAP rate in SFR. Is it the ideal tool? No. I use many tools and that is just one, but it is quick and easy and starts pointing me in the wright direction.

1. Where are you getting the NOI calculations for all these SFR's

2.  What value are you using for market value and where are you getting it?

3.  What is a "high" cap rate? 

I don't think you have a source for any of this information and that makes your spreadsheet useless.

1.) I know the rents in the area. I know the expenses of these homes. It is pretty damn easy to guesstimate an NOI, when it is the same damn 1100 Sq ft brick ranch, over and over and over. Are my numbers exact? No. Do they need to be? No.

2.) I am using cost of the home!!! It's market value is literally what it sells for on the open market!!! 

again:

Capitalization rate (or “Cap Rate”) is a real estate valuation measure used to compare different real estate investments. Although there are many variations, a cap rate is often calculated as the ratio between the net operating income produced by an asset and the "original capital cost (the price paid to buy the asset)" or alternatively its current market value.

3.) In my area I shoot for a CAP rate over 14-15% on SFR. I suppose what is considered a high CAP depends on the area.

I assure you my spreadsheets calculations aren't useless. I "use" them daily and they help me make informed decisions on what a good investment is. If that's useless to you, so be it. I am not investing for your benefit.

It seems to me that you are using CAP rates to value properties. By calculating the NOI and dividing it by the expected CAP rate for the area, you can determine the value of the property. This is absolutely one way to value a property. But, you can also take NOI and divide it by the Cost of the property to determine the CAP rate. It's the same frickin' formula and it's a very valuable tool to determine if a property is over, under or appropriately priced. In single family homes, it is especially useful "for me" as the market is full of two different types of buyers. Investors and homeowners. A property that is appropriately priced for a homeowner is not necessarily appropriately priced for me as an investor.

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64
Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Joshua Woolls:

I am not sure what your issue is. This discussion was about why it is better to buy a higher CAP rate than a lower one(it is) and you have turned it into "all properties in the same market have the same cap rate"(they don't).

No you made the wild claim that a cap rate range of 5% was typical.  All I said is that the range is much tighter (about 10 times).

 I never said this was typical. For purposes of showing the numbers I used 5% & 10%. I was using hypotheticals. It doesn't change the fact that 5.5% is better than 5%

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64
Originally posted by @Jay C.:

@Jimmy Humphrey

Great post about a great subject. I agree with most all you say. The thing is the majority of the posts that come from the BP mentality is more more more. How I purchase 2,625 units for no money down. These "I bought ______fill in the blank___units for no money down border on comical. For as you say a mere $100-$200 a door if that for all that risk....no thanks. Its a Vegas gambling house of cards. So soon we forget the lessons of 2008-2011. How un leveraged investors can profit off the backs of leveraged investors was the norm of that time period. I might add those in this game may want to take note to whats happening around them. Damaged energy markets and a swelled stock market as well as an interest rate past ready to increase. All these things are connected and the booming housing market looks ripe for a 2009 roll over to happen once again. Enough of the doom and gloom but not getting ahead of yourself and being diversified is the name of the game. Do not be sucked into the more is better mentality that is all often pushed on this site. There is no hurry or urgency in the REI game. Its quality over quantity.

From an investment standpoint, I agree with you. I believe in quality over quantity and building up my investments over time. Especially with the market where it is right now(In my market we are nearing the 2006-2007 highs). 

I disagree though that people who have the more, more, more mentality are wrong. If they have different risk tolerances, that is their business, and 30 years from now they may have a lot more wealth than me...or they may have a lot less.  I imagine there will be some of both. When the market takes a hit(not if, when - It always does) I will be there to pick up some of the pieces 

I can honestly say that in today's market I feel that over-leveraging is fairly risky. There are some areas of the country where the only way I can make the numbers work is if I count on appreciation. I am not a professional investor, maybe there are factors that I don't understand in these markets though.

Post: Over Leveraged?

Joshua WoollsPosted
  • Investor
  • Grosse Pointe Park, MI
  • Posts 164
  • Votes 64
Originally posted by @Brie Schmidt:

I think you are more at risk the smaller you are. If I have a couple of properties and one goes vacant I could be in a tough situation as it will probably wipe out my cash flow that month. But with 80 units I can handle a big expense or long vacancy. I would need 70% of my units to go vacant to not cover my PITI payments.

I agree that you have more situational risk when you are smaller, but you have more market risk when you are bigger. What determines our investment strategies has a lot to do with how we feel abut different types of risk.