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All Forum Posts by: Phil Kogan

Phil Kogan has started 2 posts and replied 9 times.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @Tim Pagano:

Wow - Phil are you in Brooklyn NY or Brooklyn Nova Scotia?  If you're from Nova Scotia (I've visited many times) there is nothing in that province like where you're looking to invest.   Zillow can be as much as $100k off in its estimates.  Look at this property in Essex county: http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/12-Claremont-Pl-...

If you walk this place you will find out that there's at least $150k in repairs.  Zillow has nothing more than an algorithm that can significantly mislead at times.   You should build a relationship with some of the local realtors that deal with investors to get your comps.  

There's a reason these places are so cheap in Newark and Irvington.  Seasoned investors have a whole myriad of troubles in these towns.  Good Luck. 

I am in New York. Have to change the settings here from Nova Scotia. I haven't met with any realtors as of yet except the one I worked with to buy my home. I was very satisfied with him and would certainly work with him again. I do however have a good amount of contractors that I know. Some came recommended and some that I have met through my current line of work.  In the mean time I will continue to learn how to analyze deals and educate my self but once its time to take the next step I want to have an idea at what location I would start looking.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @Kuba F.:

Great answer Tim Pagano

Phil Kogan

Couple points.

1. Don't use any automated ways to determine values, that includes Zestimate, Redfin estimate, or any other tool to claim to values in an automated way. Educate yourself on the proper way to evaluate comps, and to analyze deals for that matter.

2. Getting a real estate license is not the first step, unless your goal is to be a realtor. The first step is education on what makes a good deal.

Thank you for the pointers. That is a very helpful calculator.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @Daniel Patterson:

Glad you found this site @Phil Kogan! Check out the education toolbar on the top. You can learn a lot from peoples podcasts or blogs. Have you acquired your RE license in NY yet?

I have been snooping around and playing with the different tools. I have not aquired my RE license yet. Would this be the first step to getting started? Thanks.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @Tim Pagano:

Phil as an Essex County resident for over 25 years let me share with you what I know about this place.  Some of the wealthiest people in the nation and some of the poorest reside here.  It's so culturally diverse and rich community.  There are deals but don't be fooled by "low" prices.  You and I both know that NYC is flooded with foreign capital driving the RE prices through the roof, and consequently the surrounding communities are seeing an explosion in housing prices as rents force people from their neighborhoods.   

There are thousands of investors here in Essex County looking for deals right now. They understand the market and are tough competitors. You don't mention what kind of property you're looking for or what your investment goals are. You can be a slum lord or you can flip multi-million dollar houses here in Essex County. I know one area where you can do both within a 1 mile radius of each other.  Check out the Bamberger Mansion it's on the market. My point is you must define your goals much better before you anyone can respond to your post for information. 

I live 30 minutes by train from Madison Square Garden.  An investor purchased a house just down the block 2 years ago for the high $200's and sold it for just over $700k.  (Oh and BTW I'm still mad I missed that deal.)  My neighbors were astounded by this, but I understood why.  It took the investor nearly 6 months to get the town to approve his changes.  He turned a 2 bedroom house with no parking into a 3 bedroom house with off street parking.  It took nearly a year to work through the bureaucracy and finish the project and he sold it to a person from Brooklyn.  He was rewarded for his tenacity and creativity. This example is the most freakish I've seen so far.  FYI I bought a similar house down the block for $189.  

You can find deals in Essex County but understand that your sellers can see you coming from a long way off.  We know what's happening in NYC and we are prepared.  With that said pick your neighborhoods carefully and understand that just because it's cheaper than Brooklyn it doesn't mean it's a good deal.  Another word of caution, good contractors are really hard to find and your NYC contractor probably won't want to travel to NJ.  Also town building inspectors here are a source of revenue, and if you get caught doing work without permits it will cost you.  In Montclair NJ I've heard of penalties running into the 10's of thousands of dollars.  The contractors I work with are very cautious about being penalized. The good ones won't do work without permits. I'm not saying off permit jobs aren't being done.  I'm just saying if you get caught you're going pay fines and be delayed.  

Here's my last bit.  Doing one gut renovation is an achievement.  I know I've done many and there is a great satisfaction in it.  But RE investing is more about knowing and understanding a market and being able to discern the metrics of a deal.  Investors like safe deals with high returns, if you can bring those to the table the money will flow.   A good deal is a good deal in any market even though the price points could seriously differ.  You can succeed in Brooklyn just as easily as anywhere else.  I welcome you to Essex County, but you might want to dig into the resources here at BP, learn all you can, and clearly define your goals before you start investing in NJ.  PM me if you have Q's.

Thank you for the input. Right now im looking at properties in the newark/irvington are. But again, im drawn to these areas because of the price points (20k-60k). They seem to be too good to be true and have doubting myself. Also right now Zillow is my main tool for looking at comproble sold homes in those areas. I also wanted to know if using the Zestimate (Zillows property estimate) is a safe way to get an idea of the ARV or if Zillow is even the right tool to be using. Again thank you for your informative response.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @David D'Errico:

 Thanks for the link. Will definitly check it out.

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @David D'Errico:

Post: Brand new to house flipping

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

Hello everyone. Brand new user here from Brooklyn, Ny. I am also very new to real estate. After doing a gut renovation on my home with a GC a few months ago, I found myself drawn to the process of the renovations. I am now planning to buy and flip a house in the Essex NJ area. Honestly, I am not sure if I am looking in this area because the deals are right or because the prices seem low and attractive to a beginner. As many other newbies attempting to flip a house, I have a ton of questions like where to buy, how to figure ARV, where and what to look for, and how to start. Any pointers or suggestions would be helpful. Thank you.

Post: New member from New York

Phil KoganPosted
  • Brooklyn, Nova Scotia
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

Hello everyone. Pleasure to be on board. I am brand new to real estate and I am interested in flipping homes. Inspired by doing a gut renovation on my own house.