Originally posted by @Jim K.:
@Greg Koszkul
Hey, we really are getting somewhere in this thread. This question gets asked frequently, but rarely with such pared-down precision that illustrates the flaws in the question, as @Jonathan Greenejust pointed out.
There are two parts of your question as asked that I'd like to highlight. First, you're not local, and you likely don't have fully vetted and trusted local people in the area or you wouldn't be asking the question. YES, you are at a significant disadvantage, and it's going to be monumentally difficult to do well, even with resources such as those that have been mentioned already. Even if you were local, this is always complicated, even if you have a hundred deals under your belt, and many investors never really do it well.
Now, as I said earlier, there's a second aspect to your question that no one's talked about yet in this thread. What KIND of deal is it? Is this for a flip, a buy-and-hold deal, a BRRRR play? What property class are we talking about? Are there people living at the property at the moment as tenants? Single family or multifamily? You can't really even start answering the question without that information and more, because the optimal renovations you would do for a newly-acquired property would be quite different based on your answers to those questions and of course, your goals, both for the property itself but also your role dealing with the property and with real estate in general going forward.
Great discussion here. I really appreciate the initial question and follow up questions/thoughts by others.
I agree with the last poster--the end-game will help you answer this question. I just went through this process in excruciating detail for a duplex I walked away from during the contingency period. Here was my situation:
This was a 100 year old duplex with all but essential maintenance deferred for the last 40 years. It was in a good neighborhood, but the building was in bad shape, and rents reflected that. The market for a 3BR/1.5BA in the area was $1100-$1500, and these units were rented for $900 each. So I ran numbers on several scenarios: keeping the condition and rents the same, doing a medium renovation and fetching maybe $1150/unit, or doing a complete renovation and fetching up to $1400/unit. Then I worked backwards from there and estimated costs associated with each level of rehab and how much rent I could get back from it. In my scenario, because I was estimating pretty high capex and repair budgets because the building was so old and poorly cared for, the most $1400/unit rent level seemed likely to generate the best return. I surveyed other units in the area renting for that level, and the decided on a scope of work to bring it up to that condition.
In the end, I walked away because (estimating conservatively), my cash on cash return would have been only 8%, and given the amount of risk involved in such a big job, I didn't think that was worth it. But the process was really valuable to me, and well worth the time investment.
In your case, as others have pointed out, you should first figure out what needs to be done, and why. You don't want to under-rehab the property, but you don't want to over-rehab either. Once you have that figured out, only then can you (with the assistance of collaborators or partners) estimate the expenses involved. There may be different scenarios that are workable, depending on the property and your situation, and you will have to figure out what in your case is likely to provide the best return.