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All Forum Posts by: Paul S.

Paul S. has started 6 posts and replied 223 times.

Post: Update - Detroit Deal

Paul S.Posted
  • Posts 248
  • Votes 248

This is going to end badly for @Nathan Frost

Quote from @Nathan Gesner:

Those numbers look good on paper. I'm curious to see what the actual return is after five years. Lower-income renters tend to generate significantly higher maintenance and turnover costs.


 Mike Tyson famously said "Everyone has a plan til they get punched in the face"

Detroit is a never ending punch in the face LOL! From the City to the courts, the police, the litigation lawyers, the inspectors, the utility companies and worst of all the tenants. 

Detroit streets are paved with the bones of bankrupt investors that said "It made sense on paper!"

Post: Dealing with squatters the hard way?

Paul S.Posted
  • Posts 248
  • Votes 248

#1 Make sure you have insurance - make a police report just to cover your butt.  #2 Remove the electric meter and cut the grey line below the box and flush with the house... its getting cold now, they'll be gone in a couple days.  For those that will yell "Thats an illegal eviction!!" Piss off, Detroit is a lawless jungle - you need to eat or be eaten to survive here.

Post: CoC VS Cap Rate

Paul S.Posted
  • Posts 248
  • Votes 248
Quote from @Michael Smythe:

@Michelle Hagewood Be careful of how you set your expectations.

When I first got involved with RE investing 20+ years ago, all the successful investors I met told me the same thing: 

1) Write 100 offers

2) 5-10 may get accepted

3) Only 1-2 will close

It takes a lot of work to find actual deals - or you can just buy something that will really be just an expensive hobby.

Here's some other info that you might find useful:

In our OPINION (always verify yourself!):

Class A Properties:
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, 3-5 years for positive cashflow, but you get highest relative rent & value appreciation.
Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% the more recent norm.
Tenants: Majority will have FICO scores of 680+.

Class B Properties:
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, decent amount of relative rent & value appreciation.
Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% should be applied only if proper research done to support.
Tenants: Majority will have FICO scores of 620+, some blemishes, but should have no evictions in last 5 years

Class C Properties:
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, high cashflow and at the lower end of relative rent & value appreciation. Can try to reposition to Class B, but neighborhood may impede these efforts.
Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, but 15-20% should often be used to also cover nonpayment & evictions.
Tenants: majority will have FICO scores of 560-600, many blemishes, but should have no evictions in last 2 years. Verifying previous 2-years of rental history very important!

Class D Properties:
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, all cashflow with zero or negative relative rent & value appreciation
Vacancy Est: 20%+ should be used to cover nonpayment, evictions & damages.
Tenants: majority will have FICO scores under 560, little to no good tradelines, lots of collections & chargeoffs, recent evictions.

Make sure you understand the Class of properties you are looking at and the corresponding results to expect.


 Excellent advice

15 years of full time investing/managing of 50+ doors in Detroit 

Quote from @Dan Tran:

I'm interested in investing in cheaper properties for Section 8 buy & hold, and the numbers/inventory are almost suspiciously attractive in Detroit, MI.

A lot of BP posts and threads, as well as a few google searches, warn a lot about scams, agents misrepresenting 'turnkey' properties, crooked PM companies, a slow HA office, and very high crime. 

How much of this is exaggeration? Has anyone on this forum successfully done OOS investing in Detroit? 

How relatively difficult (compared to ex. Ohio) is it to evict a troublesome tenant in Detroit? 


 It is incredibly difficult to succeed with boots on the ground in Detroit - OOS is nearly impossible.  You never see the OOS guys come back to these forums and tell the story how they lost it all in Detroit.  Of course you have other guys with 1-5 properties that have gotten lucky so far and boast its easy.  

Quote from @Darrell Degrazia:

Aloha,

Thanks to BiggerPockets, I been educating myself with a abundance of information from BiggerPocket youtube videos and these forums. I been doing market analysis for homes in Detroit, MI and found a few that are above 8-12% CoC ROI. Are there any investors who have real estate in Detroit and what are your thoughts of investing in Detroit? Thank you.


 Lord, the stream of OOS people looking to lose it all in the D never ends

Post: Time to Network and Take Action!!

Paul S.Posted
  • Posts 248
  • Votes 248
Quote from @Richard Payne:

Hello everyone!! I’m a brand new investor been hanging out around BP for about a year and am finally ready to begin my investor journey to financial freedom. I do not have a team and need help networking. I have been self educating with books and podcast and webinars over the last year. Just last month I made the upgrade to pro to start using calculators and taking action. I think I may have found my first deal in Detroit. Problem is I live in California. My reason for the post is to get help finding agent putting together my team and getting my first deal done. What is the best way to network and build a team out of state?


 Richard you will find no shortage of people here in Detroit that will take your money.  Make sure you have a nice comfy chair there in Cali you can sit in about 8 months from now and ponder how you lost it all...  all that "book learnin" ain't helping you in the D

Post: Upcoming Opportunities in Detroit?

Paul S.Posted
  • Posts 248
  • Votes 248
Quote from @Justin Molzhon:

I heard a theory recently from a preparedness community that dead/dying cities such as Detroit are likely going to be revived and have manufacturing brought back to the U.S. due to current events. I'm sure we all know there are some bad areas there, but what are the chances it becomes prosperous in the near-mid term future? I see some properties that could be absolute gold mines if it were too go that way, and if not it's a small cost to pay as a gamble. I'm just wondering if the sentiment of it possibly coming back to life is more wide spread than preppers and other small pockets of folks. What's the likelihood of a cheap property now turning into a gold mine over the upcoming years?


 Due to what current events?

Post: Lawless Detroit Court System

Paul S.Posted
  • Posts 248
  • Votes 248
Quote from @Drew Sygit:

@Paul S. We've looked into suing the 36th District Court and have been told it would cost minumum of $100k and take 2 years minimum:(


 Drew are you telling me you can't find 20 investors willing to put up 5k in to this cause? Count me in for 10k.  All the investors I talk to say the same thing... next month it will get better, next year it will get better - IT MAY NEVER GET BETTER.  Lets start the 2 year process NOW.  The absolutely clueless, corrupt, incompetent politicians are getting exactly what they want - to chase landlords away.  


I am starting to educate my applicants and I hope other landlords will do the same.  I am going to start providing a flyer to every applicant I deny...   

Why can you not find a place to live? Why are the prices so high? Why is your Security Deposit so high? Why are application fees so high? The city of Detroit has made it incredibly difficult to evict tenants therefore we must pick only the MOST qualified and charge them an extreme premium to hedge our bets.  Back in the day I would take a risk on a marginal candidate such as yourself because if things went bad we could part ways in 45 days or so - no more.  If you are tired of being shut out of housing call your Local clownselman at 313-blahblah and ask them why they are forcing landlords to do this.