Hey bigger pockets folks,
Just looking to spark interesting/ stimulating conversation here.
For the last 2 years I have been educating myself through podcasts, books and actually buying real estate ,
Currently:
5 single family homes in my portfolio. So no I am not a big time real estate mogul.
3 of these homes are SF Bay area ( high priced , seeing great appreciation , some cashflow)
2 in texas ( lower priced but appreciating fairly well, decent cashflow)
I am closing on a deal in high priced city here in the Sf Bay Area in two weeks finally and at the end of this deal its going to leave me capital broke but I will have enough money in reserves for all my assets ( more than 6 months piti for all properties)
With all that being said I am at a point where I feel like I need to reset and just live for awhile, but there are some things that scare me about doing this.
1. Rates are probably going to go up significantly for the next handful of years= borrow money is not going to get any better at least in the near future ( most of us use leverage so this kind of screws re investors)
2. Home Values= Homes will go up, as long as we can't fix our supply and demand issues and then we will be even more priced out.
3. Recession potential: Any thoughts on whether the feds monetary policies will screw this up and put us into a recession, I read that they have past history of doing that.
4. Do you think borrowing the most you can while rates are still historically low is the best policy in a environment where a recession could be possible? job losses, vacancy issues etc
5. Any thoughts when rates might go back down and why do you think that? 2024,2025, after we curb inflation back down to 2.5 etc
6.How long do you think before builders and supply will meet market demand, I know this is area depended but just entertain me with your answers
I KNOW NONE OF US CAN PREDICT THE FUTURE. THIS POST IS MORE TO STIMULATE A GOOD CONVERSATION. I AM NOT LOOKING FOR ALL MY QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED. JUST LOOKING FOR SOME GOOD CONVO.