Joe,
Don't follow your gut, follow the numbers.
According to my calculations you will be lucky to net around $1100 per year, but I made assumptions on your property taxes at $500 annually and insurance to be around $200 annually.
further, 1k for appliances, painting and cosmetic is tight, even if you do it yourself. You may find other surprises and best to estimate higher. Don't forget you will have some holding costs and getting it rented immediately will depend on how many units are vacant in the complex as well as your rental price.
Best to forecast your numbers for income on the lower side and your expenses on the higher side.
I wouldn't assume the HOA would drop since your info is word of mouth and these days HOA's are increasing due to large number of vacant units. Surely as others said, the HOA fees are what kills this deal, in my opinion.
The BP site has some great analytical tools...I suggest you download some and use to analyze your deals.
Good luck!