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All Forum Posts by: Orlando Goodon

Orlando Goodon has started 35 posts and replied 123 times.

Originally posted by @Andrew Davis:

@Orlando Goodon - house hack!

Don't know a thing about your market, but you can buy 2-4 units and they're treated as a SFR from a lending perspective so you can put as little as 3% down.

Live in one - rent out the other three.

If (when) a crash or correction happens, you'll be in a sweet spot as your largest expense is covered by rental income from the other 3 units.

Look for some margin, so if you have to drop rents to appeal to more tenants you're not coming out of pocket.

You can actually do this once a year, so in 5 years, if you bought a 4plex every year, you could own 20 units.

A lot of people have posted about house hacking, there's podcasts about it and @Craig Curelop wrote a book about it: https://www.biggerpockets.com/store/house-hacking-ultimate

I wish you well!

 I wonder about buying house every year. How that works from a perspective of lenders and your credit. All those inquiries every year and increasing debt. First you owe $400,000, then $700,000 the next year, the a million... I just got credit from 580 - 660 because I dont use credit much before this year and had a charge off a while back.

Originally posted by @Steven McCutcheon:

@Orlando Goodon

What if a slowdown doesn’t happen until 2021? What if their is a mini crash but there is so much cash on the sidelines waiting for it that the market picks right back up?

So many questions because you can’t time the market but if you’re planning on holding onto a property or a few long term, why not pull the trigger?

What will you gain waiting on the sideline?

 More cash reserves. The longer I wait the more power I gain. I can afford better houses and still have low mortgage and maximize cashflow and have additional cash on hand for emergencies. So in short, time lowers my risk profile and increases my cashflow(less mortgage bigger cashflow). 

Originally posted by @Elliot Shoener:

If there is a slow down, and people lose there job,s or incomes decrease, people will move to lower end rentals.  Rents can increase or decrease in a slowdown.  This depends on your market.  For example, if people are getting kicked out of their homes and into rentals, and the rental supply is light, rents go up not down. 

In a down marketing, you could be faced with non-paying renters which you'll need to evict.  This means you'll need to cover the expenses and or damages etc.  If this could potentially be an issue, perhaps you should start out investing in a syndication.  

A syndication will allow you exposure to real estate investing, but avoids the burden of having to evict and cover expenses should a vacancy happen.   If reserve funds are not an issue, just make sure the deal cash flows well.  You'll want to be sure you can cover all expense with the rental income.  When running these calculations, simply account for rents decreasing 10%, 20% 30% etc. to simulate a down turn.  If the property still cash-flows, it may be worth the investment. 

Very good info! I like the thought process of cash flow cushioning to resist cashflow dips. Says to me I need to be more aggressive in my cashflow requirements. I need to stop looking at break even properties. Need to make 10%-20% more than expenses. That will mean playing around with increased deposit and  seek high mid point rents. For my market, I'm thinking I need to try to get just under $2000/month per unit. $1600-$1700 should be easy enough but higher rents will be a challenge. More expensive house and therefore up front costs. 

Originally posted by @Nick Rutkowski:

@Orlando Goodon

Okay, I see where you’re coming from. You didn’t mention you were in NJ. I’m from Cortland, NY (Upstate) where the average price for a single house is 130k, multifamilies go for 100k-150k. Far cheaper to do multis than singles.

So what’s your plan? Short term rentals or long term?

Long term but with a 3 fam I could do both? Air BnB and long term.

Originally posted by @Andrew Davis:

@Orlando Goodon - house hack!

Don't know a thing about your market, but you can buy 2-4 units and they're treated as a SFR from a lending perspective so you can put as little as 3% down.

Live in one - rent out the other three.

If (when) a crash or correction happens, you'll be in a sweet spot as your largest expense is covered by rental income from the other 3 units.

Look for some margin, so if you have to drop rents to appeal to more tenants you're not coming out of pocket.

You can actually do this once a year, so in 5 years, if you bought a 4plex every year, you could own 20 units.

A lot of people have posted about house hacking, there's podcasts about it and @Craig Curelop wrote a book about it: https://www.biggerpockets.com/store/house-hacking-ultimate

I wish you well!

Thanks for the info! I should be able to do up to 3 family FHA with most lenders. Some its limit of 2. Problem is it will take some time due to low inventory and my commute requirements since I have to live there.

Originally posted by @Theresa Harris:

@Orlando Goodon  There is no way to know if and when a crash will happen.  You should always make sure you are not overextended and have resources in the bank.  If you are planning on holding onto properties for a long time, then it won't matter as the price will go back up...eventually.  Maybe not if you bought it while prices were overinflated, but everything you do has some risk involved.

Others will tell you if the market goes down, buy when it is near the bottom.

 So I just took a peak at the data and it seems you are correct. The economy seems more predictable than housing. People always need homes and no new land so I dont see major hits outside of 2007. That is amazing how stable the housing market has been. From 1963, the only big dip I can even see is 2007. It seems economic down turn does not really hurt that much other than I'd assume:

Hard to sell when people are struggling
Rental income might drop as renters downsize but might also increase as people default on homes
More evictions as renters lose jobs and have pay drops

So for holders like myself, economic down turn is not that big of risk assuming I:

maintain healthy reserves for maintenance

Get cash flow that covers 90%+ of mortgage (If I take financial hit; I can cut back aggressively with a very low out of pocket cost of living)

So I really need a 3 unit. So Maybe I do:

Single family first, then look for triplex or quad
Then after I get one of those, look for a duplex for me (That way I'm paying no mortgage or barely any; I want to avoid a $1700-$2300 monthy)

In the end I live in duplex and rent a single and a 3-4 family. Starting with single gives time to find the MF that I can live in to get the primary residence discounts

Originally posted by @Nick Rutkowski:

@Orlando Goodon

I'd do that now...why wait for a recession that might not show up? Even if we are hit, where are you investing? Some RE markets will be completely effected while others will not be as effected. Your plan sounds good, however, why not skip the SFH and jump into MFH?

The issue with MFH is it's more complicated and time consuming:

     Double the cost ($600k vs $300k), therefore more time to save deposit
In order to get affordable loan (FHA), I have to live there so VERY limited inventory of commutable places
     If I'm going to live there I need to find a place that works for me (Garage, close to work, large living room, safe)

Looking for single family is easier because:
     I already have $30k saved so could buy it now
     Much easier to find a house with what I need (garage, layout) as single due to increased inventory alone
     Very limited 3-4 families period. In NJ, it seems 70% single, 20% duplex (rent does not seem to cover mortgage usually) , 10% 3/4 fam

So trying to find a house in a small market that is also needs bigger deposit is a challenge.

For a new investor interested in cash-flow and appreciation only after 10-20 years (dont care so much about fluctuation before). For an investor who plans to hold everything, what should they do to protect against potential crash?

I was thinking getting a bunch of 5'% down $600k+ properties, would be bad. Would not want to be stuck holding pricey liabilities during a time when:

I may loose my job or take 50% paycut (I've see this before)
Renters might start moving to cheaper places causing cash-flow to drop
Great deals might pop up as a result but cant touch with all money tied up in pricey houses (no flips)

I think the strategy to do is, get the cheapest single family in decent area and put near 20% down
Then start saving for 5%-10% multi down during crash and pickup 3-4 units and hold for 10 years as market recovers and I can raise the rent up. Maybe make one of these a cheap flip. Try to turn a $280k multi into a $400k multi by the time the market recovers; profit on natural appreciation plus boost from renovations.

Finally would be nice to invest some cash into creating some kind of alternate income. App business or educational content or something to help deal with risks of a market down turn.

Originally posted by @Andrew B.:

In addition to the multitude of other issues, you are also making the (terrible) assumption that you will not need to put any money into the property the whole time you own it. Not how real life works, roofs need repairs, furnaces break. Also, if you have to evict someone there's more money you need on hand, plus no income for that unit for several months. Cant pay a lawyer or contractor with the equity in your house.

This also doesn't take into account the multitude of theories on whether or not its even a good idea to pay down the mortgage. I think you should back up and do a little more research before you dive into something and end up in over your head.

Thanks for feedback. I'm in NJ market too. I'm saving $300+/mo for maintenance. $3600/year. I can easily double that number if I have too in an emergency. $8k is the number where I'd  start to get nervous. Also, a lot of my strategy will rely heavily on getting and exceptional inspector AND not rushing into the wrong house.

I've never seen long vacancies. Where I live, I'll see a new tenant within 2-3 weeks when somebody leaves. Not enough places available. BTW, that 2-3 weeks is for a nice place with 1.5 stars....

Originally posted by @Bill B.:

@Orlando Goodon

I too hate owing “people” money but if the interest rate is low enough it really can be considered free money. If you’re willing to live there for a year get an owner occupied loan (lower interest and origination charges.), apply for a 15 year loan (lower interest rate) and then after a year you can move out and get a 3rd renter. 

If inflation is 2+%, then you can pay 3% interest, subtract the tax savings, and you’re close to break even. 

How does the tax savings work? Are there any calculators for that, that you recommend? I tried 

https://www.bankrate.com/calculators/mortgages/loan-tax-deduction-calculator.aspx

and it say $12k is first year tax savings on 750k house. Does that mean I get at least a $12k refund?

Also at near 50, I don't like the idea of a loan I'll die paying. LOL