@Chris Montgomery thanks for weighing in. Your 4P fund is the main one I’m considering in that space.
correct me if I’m wrong on this: property owned by a partnership (files 1065 and K-1s) sells asset closing July 2021. It would need to put money into OZ by mid-Sept 2022 based on required tax filing date (Mar 15, 2022) plus 180 days.
If that’s correct then I would get 1031 money back from QI at July 2021 plus 180 days (meaning mid-Jan 2022) and still have nine months cushion before OZ in mid-Sept.
On a related note, I’d love to hear your thoughts on MFH from a macro (national and political) perspective as it relates to net demand and supply. On the demand side, do you see inflation causing lower incomes to lift / debts to effectively have less negative value / credit ratings improve and therefore seeing people qualifying for first homes? Possibly a loose lending environment due to liberal politics making huge concessions for first time homebuyers, more down payment support, etc?
On the supply side do you see massive wealth dumping into funds like yours over supplying the MFH market over the next few years? I see 1031 and OZ activity spilling so hard into new projects I can’t help but feel it’s more money chasing fewer opportunities and possibly creating a supply bubble over a mid-term time scale of 3-5yrs.
I've ridden the "equity wave" with SFR and see at least a mid-term top this year...or at least I'm not a buyer in this climate and partially a seller. But I'm wary of being a buyer into a market going in reverse due to macro issues...and no matter how strong the local environment looks, it's unpleasant to see that thesis overwhelmed by large-scale movements.
Thanks in advance (from a guy who’s very interested in investing in specifically what you do)!