Thank you everyone for the replies, thoughts and well wishes.
Jeff Greenberg, thank you so much for your simple suggestions. I look forward to researching each one and seeing if its a good fit. So my thoughts are clear: $250 per month on a $90k investments doesnt sound great. But in Memphis last year I was doing $250 per month on a $20k investment. That plus an increase in equity each year seemed great to me. I've done cursory looks around the LA area and nothing seemed to come close. I'd love to be close to home, so maybe I just need to look a little harder or get more creative? Will Barnard I'd love to hear any ideas you have on sticking close to home and still turning a solid profit. You are way ahead of me but I'm in Santa Clarita pretty often on business so if I can ever grab a coffee with you and pick your brain I'd love to do so.
Kyle J. So maybe others can learn from my experience, the big repairs that hit me this year were new fridge- $500, A/C Compressor - $1300, excessive repairs from a tenant moving out - $600. Then I just got nickle and dimed to death after that.
I wouldn't really blame the "turnkey" operator at all. They actually provided exactly the service I thought I was paying for. As it turned out it was extremely hot in Memphis this summer and the Compressor on one of the units worked but it turned out to be too small so I had to go up 1 ton. I was getting lots of complaints and not one since I changed it. I wouldn't blame that on the "turnkey" guys.
The tenants that were put in place by the "turnkey" guys were great and they paid great for a year and a half so I can't complain but the PM put one good tenant into a unit and a not so great tenant into the other. The not so great guy keeps catching up but only after being served court notices and all of that costs money.
I'm not SUPER concerned at this point. It seems like such a high turnover and odd big ticket items like a new compressor are anomalies. Unfortunately it just doesn't take much being 80% leveraged to knock your profits to zero. My biggest question right now is if I buy 20 properties out there is there a chance for a $4k loss in a year being 80% leveraged? That would really hurt when I am expecting a $40k return. Thanks for the thoughts and advice!