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All Forum Posts by: Michael Wagner

Michael Wagner has started 37 posts and replied 805 times.

Post: When to build Horizontally and when to build Vertically?

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

I hope you sit with the answer above! It's riddled with GOLD. I'll just add that, from a financial standpoint, when it comes to horizontal vs. vertical, it really just comes down to the cost of land in the market. In Manhattan you build UP because the cost to do so is cheaper than buying more land to build out. In small town, USA, you build out because the land is cheaper than building up.

So some quick (and very generic math) would allow us to compare. If we can put roughly 15k of square feet of "horizontal" storage on each acres, we can use our knowledge of costs for building OUT plus our cost per acre of land to get total cost.

Then we can look at how that compares to building up. No "extra land to buy" but if our construction costs increase by 50% per square foot, we can easily figure out which option (UP or OUT) makes sense in that given market.

Post: Self Storage- Autopay only?

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

We push auto-pay but do not make it a requirement.  We do however NOT accept cash or check and require all customers to pay by CC over the phone or on our web portal.

Post: Self-Storage?

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

Crexi.com is a good one.  Generally speaking, its tough (not impossible) to find listed deals these days with the whole world loving storage.  As such, direct to seller is a great strategy right now.  Networking is also a huge resource for finding deals.  With brokers as well as with other investors.  Some of my students are so good at finding them that they end up wholesaling half of what they find!

Post: Alternatives to multi-family?

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843
Originally posted by @Justin Goodin:

@Mike B. Self storage can be a great investment from what I have heard, but multifamily is by far superior in my opinion. 

Yes, multifamily is a competitive space, but that's for a good reason. To be successful in this business, you have to have 'grit.' Success is not going to happen overnight. I would say stick with multifamily and if you are struggling, ask yourself why and take necessary steps to fix those problems. Educate yourself (and I mean really educate yourself), hire coaches and leverage their track record, start a podcast, and network. And more networking. Don't give up!

Let me know if I can help in any way. 

 I love everything you say about GRIT.  And I also have to respectfully disagree that MF is superior to storage.  Storage has a better income to expense ratio (33% compared to 50% in MF), lower default rates than any other asset class on the planet and falls under lien laws which are far favorable to eviction laws.  This has always been true but is even more true today given the widespread moratorium on evictions!  While the government continues to make it HARDER for MF investors to operate, they are surprisingly making it easier for storage owners to deal with delinquencies. I'm not suggesting that you can't make money in MF, many do!  But the idea that MF is a more efficient way to do so, just does not ring true when you look at the underlying fundamentals!

Post: Worth it to utilize storage.com/ sparefoot?

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

I'm of the opinion that those aggregator sites are worth using ESPECIALLY when in ramp up (or below stabilized occupancy).  Your biggest expense is an empty unit.  As such, it doesn't really matter "if you would have got that customer anyways"...if they can get you that customer faster, then its worth paying the premium (to a point!).  Once stabilized around 85-90% occupied, you can then eliminate the sources that "cost the most per lead" one at a time.  Eventually you will find the "cheapest" way to stay full. 

Post: Self Storage Market Cycle

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843
Originally posted by @Petro B.:

@Michael Wagner yes, that’s what I hear from syndicators - “we stay in secondary and tertiary markets and our target area is 3-5 mi radius”. I agree that it’s a good strategy in the current environment, but what gives me pause:

1. Most of the small to medium guys are looking for opportunities in those markets.

2. If the primary market blows up, cap rates in the other markets would go up too.

Another option might be to find other ways to invest passively. Rather than buy into a large Class A syndication (that anyone would be proud to own), why not look at smaller mom and pop properties and partner with an operating partner. If you focused on value add properties, the importance of what the market cap rates do in the future all but disappears. Here's a quick example, I bought a 24K square foot facility in a very small town in Florida for $500K 2.5 years ago. I filled it up (supply is half what it should be in that town) and it now generates $120K in NOI per year. Profitable without any consideration for CAP rates. The appreciation is ALL icing on the cake at those numbers. Its worth about $1.5 Million now based on the STRONG cap rates (and potential for continued physical and financial expansion) that is in place. Now even if CAP rates fall back to 10, I've still got a $1.2 Million property with $700K in equity and $120K per year in cash flow.

I guess the point is that as savvy investors we should be asking ourselves "HOW do I make money in this stage of the market cycle?" Rather than "CAN I make money in this stage of the market cycle?"  With that, you might be right that buying into a new development (which most syndications are involved in) may not be wise.  I personally MUCH prefer buying existing properties and turning them around.  Far less exposure/down side risk and, if done right, not much compression to the upside!  Just my two cents of course;)

Post: Self Storage Market Cycle

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

While you are wise to take all of the above into consideration, I would suggest that storage is such a MICRO market industry that all of these considerations do not mean you can't find a good project to invest into.  The truth is, individual storage assets are pretty well buffered against the "market/sector" unless they are in a micro-market that mirrors the unfavorable characteristics that you mention above.  The rub for you is that the "most prominent" syndicators are quite likely to be in those kind of markets.  With that, if you're looking to be passive, I would suggest that buying equity in properties in smaller markets might be the better route when we find ourselves at the high end of cycle.

Post: Commercial Properties Valuation

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

My expertise is limited to Self Storage and I'd be happy to share a few of the formulas that I use to valuate them if that's an area that you are interested in.  There's several "back of the napkin" formulas we use as well as more in depth spreadsheet models that I lean on. Just let me know.

Post: Welcome from Evansville, Indiana

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

Welcome!  Fellow self storage guy here. And I helped one of my students buy a storage facility in Evansville a couple years ago.  Went really well. Small World!

Post: Alternatives to multi-family?

Michael Wagner
Pro Member
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Victor, NY
  • Posts 823
  • Votes 843

I'd encourage you to take a very CLOSE look at storage!  Its not for everybody but if it does jive with your objectives, I don't think there is a more efficient wealth building asset on the planet.  Especially when you talk about deploying a value add strategy.  The income to expense ratio and lien laws (vs. eviction) create an added margin of error that other asset classes simply can't match.  That's why storage loans default less often than any other loan! Its incredibly forgiving and very profitable so it makes a great 'first" commercial property for many!