Originally posted by @David Krulac:
@Marvin McTaw
Its a skinny deal, no matter how you cut it. There are some details not presented, like what are the terms of the underlying mortgage, interest rate, balloon?, fixed rate, and term to payoff.
Also how did you come up with the ARV, is that a real number based on 4 to 6 comps in the same area and actually sold in the last 6 months, and preferably in the last 3 months?
There are plenty of deals in Atlanta that are not $500,000 deals. $500,000 is not the entry point, and if it were me I'd start at a lower price and a much more meaty deal. I've done million dollar deals and have done 800+ (soon to break another milestone) but some recent deals I've done are a $16,000 house in an older suburb, vacant for 5 years, that with a little cleaning and painting will be resold for $60,000. Another house previous sale $95,000 was bought for $34,000 and rented for $1,250. And another house previous sale for $108,000 was bought for $36,000 and rented for $895. The downside is tremendously reduced when buying at 26%, 35% and 33%.
Your margin is 16% and the top 10% doesn't count because its vapor and if not vapor is closing costs and holding costs plus.
Hi Dave and thanks for your feedback. In regards to the deal, I'm trying to solve a problem for the owner and but also make business sense for me. The mortgage balances are what they are and the banks aren't willing to negotiate yet. There are actually two mortgages in place: a primary and a secondary. The primary is at roughly $250,000 and the second is at $270,000. The loans aren't non-performing (yet) and they are floating rate loans currently at roughly 3.0%. They are 7 year ARM tied to 6 month LIBOR. The owner can't refinance right now either so that's out of the question.
The ARV is based on sold homes within a quarter mile radius, in the same sub-division, of similar size, build, age (all built in 1993), lot size, and style including a house two doors down that sold for $635,000 three months ago. In total, there are four comps I'm looking at. I also look at the active and pending listings as well in order to gauge what people think they can sell for and to assess the competition.
In regards to margin, I'm not looking to make the biggest profit. I want to help the owner and have it be worth my time. I typically wholesale or lease option properties making a couple thousand to ten thousand a deal. Given the feedback I've gotten, I don't view it as being that risky if we lease option this property or take it over Subject To. I'm essentially getting the property for no money down and will let the owner occupant or tenant buyer deal with the repairs. As of right now, I'm not going to execute the A to B portion of the deal until I have the B to C funds in place whether through a lease option fee or down payment on owner financing.
Any additional thoughts given this information?