All Forum Posts by: Michael Keith

The real estate market is often the subject of speculation and forecasts, some predicting downturns or even crashes. However, based on my extensive experience and observation in the field, I believe there are strong reasons to maintain confidence in the stability of this market. Here are the five main reasons:

1. Strong Housing Demand

Demand for housing remains robust, driven by factors like population growth and demographic shifts. The National Association of Realtors' studies indicate that this consistent demand, particularly in urban and suburban areas, underpins the market's resilience.

2. Limited Housing Supply

The current housing inventory is notably low. This trend, highlighted in reports by the U.S. Census Bureau, helps maintain property values by preventing market oversaturation – a crucial factor that differentiates today's market from those of the past.

3. Stringent Lending Standards

Since 2008, lending practices have significantly tightened. The Mortgage Bankers Association points out that higher credit score requirements and larger down payments are now the norm, leading to a healthier market with fewer risky loans.

4. Diversification in Real Estate

Investors and homeowners today often have diversified real estate portfolios. According to the Harvard Business Review, this diversification helps mitigate local market fluctuations, contributing to the overall stability of the real estate sector.

5. Supportive Economic Indicators and Policies

Current economic indicators, such as low unemployment rates, along with supportive fiscal policies, favor a stable real estate market. Government interventions, like those during the COVID-19 pandemic, also demonstrate a commitment to sustaining the market.

Conclusion:

While no market is without its cycles, the real estate sector shows strong signs of stability and resilience. These factors, coupled with my professional observations, reassure me that a market crash is not imminent. Real estate remains a viable and valuable investment.

Michael Keith is a seasoned professional in real estate, leading the Michael Keith Team with a focus on delivering expert advice and insights into the real estate market.

Investment Info:

Single-family residence buy & hold investment.

Purchase price: $275,000
Cash invested: $150,000

New home build in Powell TN for a short-term rental. I partnered with a contractor on this deal.

Lessons learned? Challenges?

Try to find a lot that is better developed. You will be surprised to find out how much it can cost to develop a raw lot.

Investment Info:

Single-family residence other investment.

Purchase price: $500,000
Cash invested: $500,000

I am building a cabin in Gatlinburg for short-term rentals.

What made you interested in investing in this type of deal?

SHort term rentals are booming and the Gatlinburg area is strong.

How did you find this deal and how did you negotiate it?

I am a professional realtor and searched for a couple months and negotiated the land purchase down from $115k to $84k.

How did you finance this deal?

Cash

How did you add value to the deal?

Projected the cost to build and furnish then I checked the comps for similar houses in the area.

Lessons learned? Challenges?

It is way faster to buy an existing structure and remodel than to build from scratch.

Did you work with any real estate professionals (agents, lenders, etc.) that you'd recommend to others?

Michael Keith Team michaelkeithteam.com