I'd like to rejuvenate this thread as I find Vancouver RE super interesting and it's a market I would like to get into one day so I follow it very closely. It looks like 7 months has past since the last post on this thread - Has anything changed in anyones point of views?
I'd like to chime in - Last I read, sales in Vancouver were down 29% in May 17 compared to May 2016 this is the biggest drop since 2008 which was a 31% drop in sales. Like I said I follow Vancouver closely and I didn't see the prices bottom until 2011-2012 (down ~30% from their highs). I think it's very likely to see a significant price drop in the next 2-3 year much like from 2008 to 2011.
Here's why: We have a bit of a sub-prime mortgage affect in Canada because our rates are mostly 5 year terms and from 2015 till present we've seen a buying frenzy at extremely low interest rates when these mortgage terms come to maturity there's a few things that will happen that will leave a lot of people in a bad place.
1. interest rates will surely be higher and some people stretch them self just to get their foot in the RE door in the fear of missing out
2. New mortgage rules will limit a lot of people from shopping a new mortgage because they will be unable to qualify under the new rules. Being forced to take whatever rate their banks offer them
3. The foreign capital will be all gone thanks to the new taxes implemented by the NDP gov.
4. A lot of the new builds will be completed and supply will be high.
What are your thoughts?