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All Forum Posts by: Marshall Shen

Marshall Shen has started 14 posts and replied 31 times.

Post: 1st Chicago / Portland / London Zoom Meetup in the books!

Marshall ShenPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 5

Love it! Thanks for organizing Ryan!

Post: Where to find Notice of Default?

Marshall ShenPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 5

My understanding is the notice of default must be public by law. Where can one find them?

Post: 2008 vs 2020 - apply lessons learned?

Marshall ShenPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 5

2008 and 2020 are both years with unprecedented events that impact the economy, and hence real estate.

History repeats itself, so are some lessons learned.

For real estate investors who have lived through 2008, my questions are:

1. What have you learned from 2008 experience?

2. Looking back at 2008, what do you wish that you've done differently?

3. How are you applying what you've learned from 2008 to 2020? And how is 2020 different 2008 in your eyes?

Post: Looking for network in Chicago, Denver, Tucson Areas

Marshall ShenPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 5
Originally posted by @QuoVadis Gates:
Originally posted by @Alleia James:

@QuoVadis Gates Hi QuoVadis!

I am new to REI. What type of property do you invest in?

I invest in multi-family, so far I have 2 and 3 unit properties.

I'm licensed as both a Residential and Commercial Broker so I can work in any form of real estate though. 

What your current interest ?  

Hi QuoVadis,

I'm an investor in Chicago as well and I would love to connect and learn about your experience in investment :)

I will send you a DM.

Thanks,

Marshall

Originally posted by @Quentin McNew:

@Marshall Shen I would be EXTREMELY careful of Champaign-Urbana campus housing. Out of town private equity and MASSIVE AMOUNTS of oversupply of apartments being built from incentives (opportunity zones, etc)........ instead of logical supply and demand reasons to build. City approves new builds if meets building requirements, zoning, etc, but they don't tell people how to run business. VACANCY INCREASING and PRICE DROPS seems inevitable here at this point, but the numbers and time will let us know for sure. Here is interesting article last year on Champaign, IL here. https://www.news-gazette.com/news/local/housing/tom-kacich-apartment-landlords-call-for-lower-tax-assessments-amid/article_b8b70990-e3b7-5f57-bd2b-a9a0689150a5.html

That's extremely good info, thanks so much!

Post: Financing with a large cash reserve

Marshall ShenPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 5

Hi BP community!

I'm a first-time Real Estate investor, and I want to ask about the best way to go about financing during this time.

I have a large cash reserve saved up, and I'm investigating a multi-family property currently listed in Chicago. Based on the deal analysis, it can generate a positive cash-on-cash return. So where I'm at is:

1. wait out longer for the price to drop, currently, I want to wait out at least to end of Q3 2020.

2. extend additional line of credit, or mortgage to make myself financial able when I'm ready to execute on a deal


What do you think is the best approach forward from an investor standpoint?

Thanks in advance, and hope everyone stays healthy and safe!

Originally posted by @Ford Wagner:

@David Burdo That's what I figured...when the analysis only called for $700ish in taxes (forget the exact number) on a $700,000+ investment property I figured the property tax should be closer to $10,000+?

This property is not in Chicago, IL. But in Urbana, IL. It's 4 hour drive from Chicago, and a college town.

Originally posted by @Connor O'Brien:

@Andy Lo more people are leaving Chicago for Vancouver every year than the amount of people moving here from Wisconsin/Iowa. Housing supply doesn't decrease therefore you have more supply than demand. 

If I lived in Vancouver I think I would invest somewhere population is increasing. But I'm stuck here so I don't need an exit strategy and I can buy properties like this:

https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/7938-S-Normal-Ave_Chicago_IL_60620_M77172-66436?view=qv

Even though the derivative of population is negative you still have 2.7 million potential renters and if you make this property nice and treat people well you can get amazing tenants. 

There is no exit strategy... I can't flip this property and I'm probably not going to recoup all my costs with a BRRR...

But I can get an amazing return. 


@Andy Lo what are your thoughts? What markets are you looking at? 

Based on your experience, is it worthwhile to look around Chicago area, like Oak Park, for example?

Thanks for the feedback!
 

Post: Takeaways of doing deal analysis

Marshall ShenPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 5

Hi all,

I have done some deal analyses and received useful feedback from you all! First of all, I want to say THANK YOU for all the mentorship, I have felt a lot more confident about real estate investing.

As the next step, I will want to understand my options for financing and get pre-qualified for loans.

Before that, I want to share some lessons with the community.

Deal analysis is the first step and a crucial step towards rental RE investing. Given the numbers add up, there are additional steps such as home inspection, and offer negotiation. But, let’s build our real estate investment practice one step at the time, and use this uncertain time to improve rather than sit-and-wait.

  • Before diving into detailed analysis, use 1% rule to quickly evaluate deals
  • If a property passes 1% rule, then look deeper
  • When focused on cash flow, focus on annual cash-on-cash return
  • Have a thorough estimate on investment cash
    • Please include closing cost, the % varies by region
    • Adjustment % of downpayment
  • Monthly expense = monthly operating expense + monthly mortgage expense
  • For mortgage expense, use established mortgage calculator (e.g. PMT in Google sheet)
  • Have a conservative estimate on monthly operating expense
    • Assume 8% vacancy rate, which equates to 1 month per year
    • For elder buildings, use 10% as CAPEX rate, 4% newly built.
  • Use rentometer to have a proper estimate of the monthly income.
Originally posted by @Michael King:

Hi there, I'm okay with any property that passes the 1% rule. My only concern with a college town, given the current status of face to face classes, is whether those college kids will ever go back to college, and therefore not need a place to stay. Just a thought.

Michael,

Absolutely agree, until the pandemic passes, I don't intend to make any solid investments. I'm doing "homework" now to understand the college rental market better. Thanks for your feedback!