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All Forum Posts by: Marc Possoff

Marc Possoff has started 26 posts and replied 106 times.

Post: Eligibility for Tax Abatement / No Permits

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16
Originally posted by @Jon Sanborn:

You can only apply and receive the tax abatement with permitted work. 

 Since he’s almost done couldn’t he get a general permit and get an abatement on the work that’s left?

Post: Eligibility for Tax Abatement / No Permits

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16

Just got back to work and was talking with a co worker who I haven’t seen in months. He inherited a house in Point Breeze and is almost done renovating it. He did all the work himself with help of family members who are familiar and work in construction. He did this with no permits and didn’t have any issues with L&I knocking on his door. 

What his family members told him was if L&I comes the house was already in this condition and he’s just touching it up. But they are close to done anyway.

The problem or issue I told him was about the tax abatement. 

Is there any way he can be eligible for a tax abatement?

Post: Best Philly Sub-Markets for Rentals

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16
Originally posted by @Jimmy O'Connor:

@Marc Possoff I firmly believe that Grays Ferry will make its way to a point Breeze. For the last year, it seems like the SF Rows of ~1000sf 3/1's have been correcting from the surge that happened between 2018-2019. Once this stabilizes and all of the investors that picked up the inventory at the same time sell their product will create the image of a few non-rehabbed homes on a block of full rehabs (and certain north & east pockets with new construction on the block). A few reasons why I firmly believe in the resurgence future of Grays Ferry is its proximity to Graduate Hospital/ walking distance to CHOP and the fact that Ori from OCF is forcing the change with the mixed use development over at 22nd-23rd and Washington. For those who do not know neighborhood borders, that's towards the northwestern edge of Point Breeze near Grays Ferry, adjacent to graduate Hospital's southernmost cutoff. I encourage anyone reading this post to click the link, the pictures of the development look impressive. 

You no longer have to walk to CHOP, HUP or the university because of the 49 bus. We live in Grays Ferry and I work out of Pennovation(34th and Grays Ferry) so that’s an easy walk. My wife also works at Penn and she walks, takes the shuttle out of Pennovation or the 49 bus. I also foresee Penn buying more real estate in the area which means they’ll expand their mortgage program for Penn employees and affiliates(HUP). 

What’s happening on Washington Ave is pretty amazing too from the bridge East. 

I actually think Grays Ferry is a better location than Point Breeze maybe I’m biased. Because of easier access to where Penn is and access to down town. Also easy access to get on the expressway East or west and to 95 and hit the shore. I also like the fact that the Fresh Grocer is walking distance. 

Post: Best Philly Sub-Markets for Rentals

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16
Originally posted by @Jimmy O'Connor:

This post is going to contradict what it seems everyone above as commented. From your description for your goals @Justin Tyler, it seems like the best fit for you is actually going for Section 8 properties in areas that seem rough now without any high out sale values. Truly, if high rent relative to the purchase, and a patient timeline of 7-10 years is your metric for success, you are better matched for D to C- neighborhoods that are on a slow but true path of progress. 

No one thought that you would EVER be able to cross Lehigh in Kensington, then Kensington Courts came along. Northern Liberties/Fishtown used to be as dangerous as they come less than 10 years ago, now it is arguably the hottest neighborhood for young professionals. Is it beneficial in invest in areas that you already see the change? Sure, confidence comes with new construction on the block and ability to throw a rock at several comps from your doorstep, but there is a reason why that is a sharp double-edged sword. If the value is so bluntly apparent, EVERYONE will invest because it seems like a sure-fire fix, driving up the initial cost. The feeling of progress attracts a larger pool of investors than the patience of the long game. If you want to flip, the Upper C/-B class (Grays Ferry)to B-B+(Point Breeze, Brewerytown is the way to go. They have low days on market and are places where you as an investor could even see yourself having to live there if push came to shove. However, in the current market, those neighborhoods are the ones where buying shells will EASILY run you over 100k up to 150k with rehabs usually in the ballpark of +70k for a rental grade to boast mid to high 200's ARV. This means high-profit margin on the flip (+40k or +22% ROI) but less than desirable LTV which is crucial for a refinance and your eventual cashflow.The issue with going for a Grays Ferry, Brewertytown, True Port Richmond, East/Olde Kensington, Point Breeze is that your debt service will be so high due to the cost to compete.

I'll shoot you straight with this strategy, these places you will not see full gut rehabs now nor will you see a baker's dozen of comps to justify full cash-out refinance. That being said, your debt service will be so low relative to your high cash flow and the amount of work you need to put into the property is SIGNIFICANTLY less than the expectations of the tenants in those neighborhoods listed above.

I am not arguing this is the one strategy to rule them all, and honestly is not my cup of tea, but it is one that pairs well with your stated goal. The reality is that there is not a "bad area" to invest in Philly. There are different strategies for different risk thresholds or capital limitations. A common response to this mentality is "well if you look hard enough you can find lower-priced properties in the nicer neighborhoods." Sure you can, I still do, but how much money and time are you willing to invest in building your pipeline and marketing to catch up to the competition to find the needles in the stack of needles?

Thanks for mentioning Grays Ferry! There’s rehabs and guts galore and new construction happening. 

Post: Best Philly Sub-Markets for Rentals

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16
Originally posted by @Nicky Lisewski:

I'm an investor and agent. Personally, if you are looking for cash flow and appreciation, I look to the neighborhoods adjacent to the great areas for young professionals. Back in the day, Point Breeze improved due to spill-over from Graduate Hospital. Now, I'd look to Kensington rather than Fishtown.  Much of Brewerytown is past up and coming in my book, so I'd look to up into Strawberry Mansion. I've also got investors who have gotten good cash flow in Cobbs Creek in West Philly.

As far as rentals, I like to look at rentometer and Hotpads to see actual rents and current demand.

How come no one mentions Grays Ferry next door to Point Breeze? If you drive around Grays Ferry there’s lots of rehab and new construction. I admit that Grays Ferry has 3-5 years until it’s like a Point Breeze. IMO without a doubt Grays Ferry will get there. 


Post: Netting Approximately 6’6” Basement Dig

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16

@Niaz Butt I assume if it’s considered living space it would raise the value = higher taxes?

Post: Netting Approximately 6’6” Basement Dig

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16

@Jacob Kahn has an appointment with an contractor and he said to get 8’ finished height we would need to underpin. His estimate is $23k with a French drain. He said the most we could get without underpin is 6’7”. He was 6’5” and said 6’7” could work without underpinning. He did say we should get a French drain. He also said it’s all labor digging out without underpinning which our 2 sons and I can do with help of our contractor. Our contractor knows how deep we can go without underpinning and says it’s no problem digging out and putting in a French drain.

If we decide to live there and it’s an if, I would much prefer an 8’ finished basement which would mean underpinning.

Post: Netting Approximately 6’6” Basement Dig

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16

The house we are renovating is almost done and wanted to look at making the basement a living space. My contractor and I dug a square hole and it looks like we can dig down and he said I can net 6’ 6” - 6’ 7”  net without underpinning. He’s pretty sure we dug deep enough to get to the end of the foundation. Disappointing I was hoping for 7’. However other renovated houses on the block and in the area are about the same height finished, some with a bedroom and full bath. We visited quite a few and it didn’t feel comfortable at that height to me and I’m 5’ 8’.  

Is 6’ 6” - 6” 7”! considered living space?

Post: Philly Market - Job Diversity

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16
Originally posted by @William C.:

@Phillip Costa - a few links to consider:

https://www.philaworks.org/data-trends/ - Philadelphia's workforce development board

https://www.phila2035.org/citywide-vision - Philadelphia's vision for the future (not set in stone just what they're working towards)

https://www.bls.gov/regions/mid-atlantic/news-release/areaemployment_philadelphia.htm - Bureau of Labor Statistics (take a look at table 1)

https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/research-and-data/regional-economy/beige-book/2020/200415-bb.pdf?la=en - The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's regional report from April for a broader perspective

I've worked in academia (@ UPenn and currently w/Columbia) for most of my career and the questions surrounding solvency for some institutions, cost, etc. are both legitimate and ongoing but I highly doubt it will affect large institutions like Drexel and UPenn.  The question about opening campuses up are really more about when rather than if they'll open.  Just my two cents on that topic.

In recent history, Philadelphia has been making significant efforts to be considered and recognized as a tier-1 city (ie- bid for Amazon's HQ2, new convention center, big concerts, etc.) so I'd say it's trying to diversify.  Consider that Philadelphia is home to more than just the Education and Medical fields.  You also have strong companies like Comcast, E&Y, top law firms (you know they're not going anywhere), etc.  

Good luck with your research!  I hope you'll keep us posted on your results.

All the best,

Will

Yes forgot to mention Comcast and law firms. In fact Philly has the largest population per capita of law firms in the country I believe. 




Post: Philly Market - Job Diversity

Marc PossoffPosted
  • Flipper/Rehabber
  • Phila, PA
  • Posts 106
  • Votes 16
Originally posted by @Jared Forman:

I am going to take a  different perspective on this topic. 

Philadelphia is general is a blue collar city, is it good, is it bad, is it neither. Why???

If you look at the corporate tax structure, it is very unfavorable for businesses to be located in the city of Philadelphia. It is better for them to be located in Delaware or Montgomery county.  Currently Philadelphia is the poorest major city in the country. If the working class goes from blue collar to white collar than this will shift the balance and the entire market goes up.

On the other hand let's assess the geographic placement of Philadelphia. It is located 1.5 hours from NYC by car, 1.5 hours to Baltimore by car, and 5 hours to DC. It is a gateway city that must be passed for trade purposes but can be missed for passenger purposes.

So to sum it up...

Philly is a poor blue collar city that is located in between other  major east coast cities. Politicians don't necessarily want more business in the city, and the local people don't want more money. If more business or better jobs where in the city it could easily get price inflated and gentrify locals, as scene in some neighborhoods. 

If you don't believe me look into government subsidizes rates. 

Yea Philly is definitely a blue collar city . In general like you said it’s a somewhat poor blue collar town which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Depends what neighborhood too. Go to Packet Park and there are blue collar there but not poor blue collar. 

A middle to upper blue collar town would be the likes of Havertown. Lot of people who work in the trades making $80k - $100k a year.  

We live in Grays Ferry because we wanted to escape South Jersey high taxes for the last 23 years and we are empty nesters now. Grays Ferry is coming around. It was once a low to middle class blue collar neighborhood many years ago. However I don’t see Grays Ferry becoming a blue color neighborhood. I see it becoming gentrified in 5 years.