Hi all
Thanks very much for taking the time to answer so thoroughly
I am looking to buy something, on the cheaper side of course. Using the BRRR method. I am a contractor here, in Canada, so repairs are not scary.
From your answers, Chiacgo doesn't seem like the place to go. The other market I like is Tampa... maybe you know something about it?
Anyways, back to Chicago, I have been there a few times, although mostly d-town and north-bound (Wrigley field area)... to me it is world-class, beautiful, clean, rich, affluent, safe... but I am aware of 'what they say about the South'
Yes, I am from Canada, and no, I do not 'understand' what a rough area is... a random mugging, kidnapping or murder here is simply unheard of... in a 4million ppl city.Social net is much higher, you will never go hungry here, guns are pretty much inexistant. The city has roughly 20-25 murders per YEAR, mostly linked to organized crime, so 'normal' people have nothing to worry about
As for numbers, I understand some of these tenants might simply never pay, and Chicago is a tenant friendly place (that, I understand, Montreal is socialist champion of North America)here in Montreal, 2% cap is considered good, in okay areas... nice areas have negative cashflow, are trading roughly at 4% GROSS cap, so I am looking elsewhere.
I understand Chicago has a big problem with crime and safety, but this is Chi-town, not some small *** town in the middle of nowhere. These areas are next to d-town? Any gentrification in sight? Just a simple correction, to bring either cap or price on par with a world class city... would mean values 3-4x higher... so to follow up, here are the 3 that seem like the 'best' deals I found, with my reasoning, would love to discuss it further
I did not take the absolute 'steals' as I understand these areas of town are ****. These seem like decent buildings to me, please tell me how I am wrong,
I understand that your knowledge is far better than mine
https://www.loopnet.com/Listing/8041-S-Manistee-Ave-Chicago-IL/17653858/these are large units, I tend to value a 3-4BR more than a 1BR for the same cap rate. nice numbers, according to my Google search, seems not so bad of a neighborhood
https://www.loopnet.com/Listing/Chicago-IL/17481592/again, large units, seem updated, seems out of the war zone (might be wrong here?)
https://www.loopnet.com/Listing/7748-S-Essex-Ave-Chicago-IL/16719454/And here, something more typical with mix of 1-2-3 bed units, much lower priced, close to the lake, which I figure is nicer?
They of course, all need some updating, all have some risk to vacancy. From what I understood in my research, Chicago did not reassess buildings for years, so tax numbers are too low, they have to shoot up.Ran pro-formas with 25% vacancy, 2x actual taxes and it still makes sense.BUT... a good deal is sold. Some of these have sky-high caps (in theory) and been listed some for over a year, I get it... but can't wrap my mind around the fact that at such a low price, still would not make sense.
Thanks again for your time
Marc