Rents in Santa Clara, Silicon Valley and South Bay are undeniably on the decline. I was just looking at rental listings last night in Mountain View out of curiosity. Although I expected to see a decline it surprised me just how much it has declined. I noticed a few months ago many vacancy signs out, something I had not seen in years. Now there are move-in incentives, low deposits, offers of as much as 2 months free rent even.
Last year all the new apartment developments in the area gave me cause for concern. With the sheer volume of new rental apartments I was concerned that IF the rental market took a turn I would not be able to get a tenant at my current rental rate in my older condo. And... that turn came faster than I imagined. I followed my gut instinct and sold in February with escrow closing just before SIP began. Lucky timing. I 1031 my single condo into a 4 unit in the Central Valley. There was a $5K difference from the sale price to the purchase price, but the rental income increased almost 2.5x. I'm very pleased with how it turned out.
I held that Mountain View condo for appreciation. It never really made sense to hold it for cashflow. Maybe 10 years from now it would have seen (another) huge appreciation, who knows, but my goals have changed and I'm looking for cashflow now. I have another condo in the tri-valley I'm debating on making the same move with, but there are other considerations in play on this one.
Rivermark is a great location, but there are a lot of rentals in that area. How long can you afford to leave it vacant and hang on for the market to head back to a favorable direction? How low can you go on the rent before it's costing you out of pocket every month to hang onto it? Just some things to consider.
Originally posted by
@Sid Naik:
Thanks all for the great comments . Appreciate it .
This is my 4th week trying to rent my condo. The condo is top notch , trust me on this , there is nothing wrong in product ( location, amenities ,age all ticked off ) .the neighboring huge apartment complex has reduced rents by 25% and on top of that 1 month rent free . This is in one of the best area in santa clara ( Rivermark) .If you look at online stats there is realignment where rents are dropping in high demand expensive areas and increasing in areas like livermore . If a property comes to sell in Santa clara it will be priced on the prevailing rents and cap rate . From what Jonathan is saying people may bid up this price so it won't be strictly based of cap rate and NOI . Kind of hard to understand the logic but I am a newbie in MF so can't comment much on it . However rent drop is nothing i have seen in Santa clara for the last 10 years and is real .