Your analysis please-
39 unit apartment building housing 76 students attending a local community college. All units are occupied.
Additionally, there is one retail space, currently occupied.
2008 Actual GOI with 5% vacancy/non payment factored in was $336,721
2008 Actual Expenses (not including a management fee) was $188,035
2008 NOI = $148,686
If I included a 5% management fee of $17,000, 2008 NOI would have been $131,686
I looked at this last May when these numbers were just available and we were negotiating in the range of $1,200,000 to $1,250,000. I had 100% financing lined up, 70% HML and private leinholder willing to subordinate 30% as a second, which the HML was willing to do. The owner had health problems and we never made the deal.
The positives of this deal are that there is positive cash flow after 100% financing, the student population in the area is growing and there is a need for more student housing. The apartments are newly renovated in the last 3 years, is up to building and safety codes, and the apartments are considered desirable for their size, building security, and having only one student per bedroom. There is empty shell space that is currently being heated that would accommodate apartments to house and additional 36 students. I am estimating that the 18 units to house these students could be built out at a cost of $12,000 per unit with annual rents of $8600 per unit.
The negatives are that the expenses are 56% of the GOI, There is no realistic way to split the utilities up since the two students occupying each unit share a kitchen There is deferred maintenance of the building exterior and carpeting. The positive cash flow is episodic in that most of the students pay an initial security deposit and then pay their semester rent when their financial aid is released once each semester. So except for the retail lease, the owners get a shot of income twice each year.
The owner I negotiated with last year has since died and the estate is looking to sell to pay the estate bills and taxes. they have relisted the building for $1350,000 and feel they need to get $1,250,000. They seem amenable to assisting with financing if they can get their price.
Since the 2009 numbers will soon be available, an improvement in NOI may be a reason to offer $1,250,000 if I can get it will high LTV financing.
The rents per semester were raised for this academic year by 13% so for 2009, half of that increase, or 6.5% would have been realized.
I am estimating that the 2009 GOI should be up by about 6.5% to $358,607. If the expenses remained 56% of GOI and I added a 5% management fee, then NOI=$358,607 x 39% = $139,846.
What is your analysis of this property at $1,250,000.
If I wanted to get 15% DownPayment Assistance from the owner and 85% financing from a lender, I would need an NOI of $150,000, which isn't there. I don't have enough saved to make a significant downpayment.
Another thought is to go back to the current lien holder and see if he is still wiling to subordinate 15-20% or, as Bill Gulley has taught me in another post, ask him to partner with me
So I am looking for your analysis to see if I have missed anything before giving up on this. What partnership or other arrangements might make sense for this property.