I don't care how unpopular my answer is, but if people don't study economic cycles, they won't understand that the catalyst for each recession (depression) has never been the same. Last one was real estate. The next will not be the same, BUT real estate will be majorly affected. People want to say, "well, the lending is stricter." I am here to say that all it takes for someone to lose their house is to not be able to pay for it any longer (loss of job for instance). You have numerous people who have that problem, you have a real estate affected issue. It is naive to base one's decision of the real estate market on the variables involved in real estate. And for the Las Vegas locals....global economics could not give 2 cents about the Raiders coming to Las Vegas. Study the things that are going to be major issues:
Pensions are underfunded and are now being run by the bankers who crashed the housing market. Calpers has to get at least a 7% return in the stock market just to be able to make due on their promises.
FYI: Robert Kiyosaki is sounding the alarm regarding the Pensions
Corporate buy backs of their own shares (when they were bailed out from the last crash, instead of putting that money into manufacturing, they bought their own company shares to increase the value. (which are overvalued and fake)
Government Debt.
Inverted Yield Curve - Short term lending makes more return than long term
Bond market is horrible and investment grade "junk" bonds have increased exponentially. Bonds that have been downgraded to junk I should say.
Corporate Debt - Have to borrow money just to pay back the interest on money borrowed. Interest rates were so low and money so cheap they went out and racked up purchasing power in the form of low interest debt.
Consumer Debt (3 times larger since the last crash)
Student Debt (largest in history)
Car loan industry (starting to experience substantial deliquencies) and because car companies are now in the finance game, what happens when people cannot pay in droves because the lending is not stricter like the housing lending is now.
Retail stores closing in mass
The devaluation of the dollar will be a huge one.
We are now a global economy and when one thing gets affected, everything well.
As investors, we all need to be prudent to watching the importance of our money, especially when it is your personal money and not borrowed.
The question is more of, how long can the government keep printing money and propping up the economy to save it? I think there is definitely more money to be made in this economy, especially because there will be a melt up.....BUT I think one of the best things investors can do right now is get your purchasing power in order for when that time comes.
FYI, the people that spoke in front of Congress and were laughed at by Congress regarding the housing crash for the last crash are sounding the alarm again for the new issues
only this time they are claiming 2008 will look like child's play compared to this one.