Thanks for replying @Bill S.
Yes, Wyotech is a concern that I have thought about. But concerning this, Wyotech has been in decline for some time and is now down to 400 students at the time of this writing. Down from 1,085 in 2016 and and 1,800 students on 2013. So, the market should, in theory, have already made most of its adjustment. On that though, there are at least 60 units I know of that Wyotech has under contract for lease to their students that sit empty at this time.
On the other hand, UW saw a 9.3% growth of freshmen to total 1,696 and an increase of transfer students by 12.3% to total 1,086 this fall. That is 265 more students enrolled as compared to last year, over half of Wyotechs student population. Also, UW is projecting more student growth for fall 18'. Will Wyotech affect the market? Yes, but not as much I believe people expect. I have found in my experience not to try and "time" markets. You may end up in a worse situation. But hind sight looks clearly both ways I suppose.
As for rehabs, you are most likely right. It will probably cost me more than expected. But I am going to be conscience of not overspending due to the area and potential market influences. It is in a high density of rentals (N9th and Downey) so competition may limit my ability to raise rents much, if any considering the Wyotech variable. If I can't raise to my target I do expect to at the least be able to keep a lower vacancy rate than the surrounding units.
The idea of getting a contractor's licence is intersting. My plans for my own work would be simple but not sure if this is the type of work you mean. I plan to just update mainly. i.e. Counter tops, bathroom vanity, 2 units need shower tile, paint the exterior, new appliances etc... Things like that. All of which I was hoping to pay for with cash flows over the next several years. So, if the market reacts to Wyotch as you seem to think it may, I would be in a bad spot.
As for price, I think you are right. The market seems to be pretty inflated price-wise. Especially down by you. Being new to the REI world, everything I'v read in my research on investment shows instances of people buying 9% cap rates or higher. And paying around $60,000 a door. That is just unrealistic in this market IMO. Even up here in little ol' Laramie.
I know I'm playing devil's advocate here. But I don't want to not get into the market based on fear of something that is uncertain. I also don't want so be brash and jump into a bad deal. So, I am proceeding with caution and doing as much research as I can. I am touching base with the listing agent from time to time so she knows I'm out there. But if it goes before I'm ready, I won't hurt about it.