@Marcin: My plan scale slowly - purchase one property, 2 the following year, 3 the year after etc. We are not necessarily in it for large cash flow, we see it more as a "retirement plan" (but cash flow doesn't hurt, allows us to build more capital for further investments etc) Our plan was start next year (were planning a move to Nashville, TN area) but my husband has a great job offer that might keep us here for another 2 years, so we started exploring options and found this small town outside of Brentwood/Antioch that seemed feasible. It's an ineresting market - VERY different from the bay area. I'm a bay native and have never heard of the town before this, but I imagine with the insane growth here it is only a matter of time before it's discovered (also new development plans and growth happening). This prop is not necessarily the best monthly cash flow, but fits what we are looking for and allows us to not have to hold off another 2 years.
Here's the quick and dirty:
Purchase: $250k (max)
Reno: $175-200k (pending deeper inspection of roof and foundation)
ARV: $475-480k, per our 203k consultant who is also an appraiser
Monthly Rent: $3,950 - $4,000
PITI: approx 3,000-3,100
Other Expenses: vacancy 5%, Repair/Maintenance/Capex: 6.5k/year (all major repairs done during reno, budgeted low for capex)
Cash Flow: approx $150-200/month, depending on interest rates/PITI payment
Cash on Cash/ROI: 7% the first year (due to reno) and 9% there-after.
@Colleen: Ah, that was a typo - the front property has walls! The kitchen and bathroom need minumal work (it's fine as a rental) but it does need roof, foundation etc as those items were neglected by the previous owner. One side is currently rented and would be able to stay rented with the work needed, which would help with holding costs during reno (which is projected only abot a month on the duplex). The back house is the one that needs more walls, etc. See my analysis above re: cashflow. I'm definitely worried about the scope of the reno, that's our biggest hold-back!
@Hoteenia: To clarify - I meant those as 2 separate items: we have done our due diligence on the property - we have been working on this deal for close to 2 months now. And re: podcasts/research, I merely meant that we have been interested in REIfor several years, have a good amount of general knowledge, and I feel there comes a point that you need to pull the trigger and learn the nuances as you go. I don't think listening to podcasts is any sort of qualification, lol - we are just ready to make it happen. But want to make we are not getting in over our heads on this first deal.