I respect your brother for caring about people, so I would start there. If you made a promise, you'd like him to respect your decision and why you made it.
But our brother's business sense may not have been good (possibly absent?). He's gone and you are in charge. Make every effort to realize his intent to provide low income housing for this community ... but almost certainly not the way he would. And you may find that you are simply not the person that can do it.
What these folks need is a sustainable housing options. Only something that makes business sense for a professional landlord will work in the long term.
To get to the truth, you have to get the facts. Your own rambling about appraisals suggests that you know that an appraisal on a marginal property is meaningless.
Try to sell the property to the tenants.
The first thing I would consider, because it realizes both your interest in income and the spirit of the promise to your brother best, is to try to sell the property to tenants as an owner finance deal. Price it at the lowest reasonable value 45K (don't be greedy here, from what you have described to me the value of this property may be zero), loan them the total amount over 10 or 15 years (they can't do a down payment) @ 5% interest, split the payments with your sister. The tenants are responsible for maintenance, taxes. You split the mortgage payments free and clear with your sister.
I honestly think that is the best deal here for everyone involved. The worst case scenario is that you get the property back because they don't make payments. Done right, you can structure the deal so you get the property back if they don't pay without going through foreclosure (send me a second question on that if you go that route.)
If not, put the house on the market
The only way to know the market value today is to put the property on the market. Realistically, that option has to be on the table, therefore, I think it is fair to ask assistance of some realtors and just do it. I would ask 2-3 realtors how they would price this property. Ask them for the analysis and data they used to get there. Pick a realtor, put the property on the market, see what happens.
Simultaneously, try to turn it into a viable buy and hold rental
The actual value of the property is the cash on cash return from the property as a buy and hold rental.
If only to evaluate the work of the realtors, imagine yourself in the position of considering buying this property and do some research and calculations on your own towards an offer on the property. Develop your plan and your price from this perspective.
First, look on craigslist or wherever people post rentals in that area and find out what it costs to rent a beat up trailer in that area. I suspect your tenants are paying market rent, but market rent is the key data point here.
The value of a rental property is a function of the cash on cash return, assuming market rents. Appraisals are meaningless. What an investor wants to know is ... what return to i get if i put my $20K here as opposed to in some other investment. The basic principle is that an investor will want 8% or 10% or 12% return on the cash they put into the deal. You assume the property was purchased with borrowed money.
You have to back out the value you need to get a 10% cash on cash return, making reasonable assumptions about what you can borrow, interest rate, the life of the asset, taxes and maintenance costs.
The key difference with mobile homes is the amortization period. The impact is only apparent in an analysis of the cash on cash return. HUD will allow a 20 year term on mobile homes, where they allow a 30 year term on regular homes.
The first thing that jumps out at me are the maintenance costs, which are equivalent to the payments for a year on a 60K loan, 15 year loan, and the interest payments on a 150K 15 year loan.
How I would look at this property as a potential buyer
If I was going to come in and try to take this property over, I would guess that the current value is only the land. Given the maintenance costs you describe, the mobile homes need to be scrapped, and that will cost money. If you say that the land is worth the value of the land minus the cost of scrapping the homes and maintaining the property (taxes, utilities, dealing with the tenants) while you do it. That is about zero.
However, the land has some utility. If you replaced the mobile homes, maybe the homes could give you a return.
I would research the cost of replacing the mobile homes with something lightly used (like cars, mobile homes lose 30% of their values the day the leave the retailer). I am guessing you can entirely replace those mobile homes for 20K each.
I suspect you can find a zero down deal on mobile homes. Even with a slightly higher interest rate, zero down does wonders for your cash on cash return.
I would look into the one time cost of scrapping those homes you have.
I would look into putting more mobile homes on the lot, to increase the potential rental income.
You may find that, since the land is essentially free to you, you can actually make a decent return renting mobile homes in good condition to low income tenants. I believe you can borrow money to update the mobile homes for about the maintenance costs you are paying. The newer homes may bring in a higher rent with much lower maintenance costs.
And now you are providing decent low income housing in that area, which fulfills the spirit of your promise to your brother. And you can sell the property for something because it has income that exceeds the mortgage payments and the maintenance/taxes etc.
I would get the tenants ready for what it will cost them to rent a newish mobile home, based on market rents. They have to make their own decision about whether to stay or move down the road to farmer bob's mobile home slum.
As you have figured out, running a slum is not a good business and not sustainable. Slumlords are just too lazy to pencil it out.
Your sister
Your sister may not make it possible for you to be in a position to realize your promise to you brother to use the property to serve low income residents. You may need to sell that property. Your best hope is that some smart investor comes along and does what is necessary to turn that into a decent low income housing situation.
Therefore, even as you explore whether you could turn that into low income housing and whether your sister will work with you on it, you need to be trying to sell it. Only the process of trying to sell it will show you, and convince your sister of the real value. Which may be close to zero. It sounds to me that if you can sell it for even the lower appraised value, you should take the money.
I feel the pain in your post ... being torn between the promise and the financial facts. Hope that helps. All you owe your brother is the best possible, but realistic, outcome for these folks.
>KNC<