Hello Mike,
Reviewing your investment strategy and questions, it’s evident that you have laid a thoughtful foundation for your first property investment. There are several critical factors and potential risks you should consider to ensure a more comprehensive approach.
Regarding your math, it seems well-considered, incorporating key elements like repair costs, After Repair Value (ARV), and projected rental income. Nonetheless, the contingency budget is essential, as real estate projects often encounter unexpected costs. Verifying your repair estimates with a local contractor is advisable to avoid underestimation. Also, consider the potential for project delays, which could increase your holding costs.
When it comes to getting the property under contract, engaging an investor-friendly real estate agent is a wise move with the first couple of deals. Such an agent can offer valuable insights into the local market, assist in negotiations, and ensure that the contract terms align with your investment goals. While direct seller contact is an option, having seasoned representation can be particularly beneficial starting out.
In terms of overarching analysis, your strategy carries certain risks. Renovation, especially the basement conversion, might reveal unforeseen complications, leading to additional expenses and delays. Market volatility could impact both the property's valuation and rental demand, which are crucial to your investment's success. Keep an eye on the interest rates.
The benefits of your approach are clear. The basement conversion and overall renovation can significantly increase the property’s value and functionality. Additionally, having multiple exit strategies, such as flipping or renting, provides flexibility in response to market conditions or personal investment goals.
It's crucial to consider other factors as well. Conduct a thorough local market analysis to understand trends in property value and rental demand. Don't forget the permits to ensure all renovations comply with local building codes and regulations.
Lastly, do not overlook the closing costs and lending fees associated with purchasing and refinancing the property. These expenses can be substantial and should be factored into your overall financial calculations to avoid any surprises in your budgeting.
Best wishes!