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All Forum Posts by: Josh Milewski

Josh Milewski has started 16 posts and replied 61 times.

Post: I'd Like Advice On My 10 Year Plan

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13

So as a follow up to this. Not long after I posted this I was preparing to get my first deal and then an AC failure in my personal home drained my capitol (shame on me for not having a capex fund for my own property). That put me in a bit of a funk and I basically stopped looking at real estate for a while. 

I'm trying to get back on track but think I want to study my market while I build up funds. I'm debating on if I should try to buy out of my back yard or if I should try in Ohio where my wife's family lives. 

either way I don't really know how to evaluate the market yet so if any has any book suggestions I'd be very grateful. 

Post: I'd Like Advice On My 10 Year Plan

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13

I thought it would be insightful to share my 10 year plan here and see how realistic (or unrealistic) it is from people who actually know what they are doing. 

The first problem I've spotted in my plan is expected too much cash flow per door in the first few years. 

Year 1: 1 New Rental - 1 total rentals - less than $100/Month Cash Flow.

Year 2: 2 New Rentals - 3 total rentals - 300/Month Cash Flow

Year 3: 4 New Rentals - 7 total rentals - 700/Month Cash Flow

Year 4: 5 New Rentals - 12 total rentals - $1,200 Month Cash Flow

Year 5: Trade up to 20 door Multi-Family - at last 20 doors - $2,000/Month Cash Flow

Year 6: Build up money for next MF

Year 7: 1 new 20 door MF - 40 total doors - $4,000/Month Cash Flow

Year 8: build up money for next MF

Year 9: 1 new 20 door MF - 80 total doors - $8,000/Month Cash Flow

Year 10: 1 new 20 door MF - 100 total doors - $10,000/Month Cash Flow

Post: Jonesboro Arkansas Funnel For Connections

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13

@Justin Lee Taylor I'm a local too, and have been asking around for these events clubs but like you found there isn't much around here. I'd certainly be interested in attended maybe even helping organize something local. I'm also looking to build my network and need good referrals for contractors, lenders, agents. 

Post: First Three Properties

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13

I listened to the webinar how you buy your first, second, or third rental property yesterday. In it, David Greene talked about the value of experience in these three properties. Which got me to thinking. Is the experience with little to know ROI as long as you break even and plan for expenses like capex and vacancy? I don't have a specific property in mind I was simply wondering in general.

Thanks in advance,

Post: On Market Offers

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13

In an interesting turn of events my partner may actually be making an offer on this property. I started looking into why they mentioned a duplex on the listing and found that they're is a duplex for sale also on the same parcel. When adding the two buildings together into a single offer it was much easier to make the numbers work at a much less severe discount of their asking price. 

copying the numbers out of my spreadsheet using my phone is a pain so I'm waiting for a chance to sit down at my laptop to share them. 

Just thought it was interesting to share the new information.

Post: On Market Offers

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13
Quote from @Tim Johnson:
Quote from @Josh Milewski:

Is it common to have to offer way under asking to make the numbers work or am I looking in the wrong market? 

Josh, if you're looking "on market", as in this zillow case - many markets in the country simply "won't work". If sellers have already made the effort to contract with a realtor and go through the steps of putting their home "out there" then, yeah, $75,000 under list price will usually not be exciting for the seller. If it's "off-market" and you're helping the seller solve problems - (they need to sell, they don't want to do the work of fixing things up, they have other "issues" that need solving) - then, yes, a low-ball offer may be their salvation. The point is, you'll need to dig and work for real deals.

Having said that, when I run the numbers on this deal (20% down, 7.5 interest rate, 5% for both CapEx and Maintenance, 5% vacancy, 8% for management, 1.5K taxes, $900 insurance, etc.) I can make this home "break even" for just 25K under list - buying at 100K. Can't see photos.....and if the home doesn't appreciate it wouldn't be much of a win. But it wouldn't take long to at least take a peek inside and run your numbers again.


I kinda figured on market was to easy a path. But it's an easy way for me to practice running numbers while I learn all this stuff so that's what I've been using. 

Post: On Market Offers

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13
Quote from @Nathan Grabau:

What metrics are you trying to hit? With high interest rates, I know that I have to look at buy and hold properties differently than when the rates were low. 

Because there are not interior pictures, it is hard to guess the condition of the property too, so that could be throwing your numbers off. 

There are some people that are just priced too high and a deal cannot be made. This is why cash flow markets (vs appreciation markets) are so hard. Your numbers are so much tighter because appreciation hardly helps you. I can put 3% appreciation per year in on a 500k house over the next 5 years and I am probably low. On my low numbers, the house will be worth 580k 5 years from now with no renovations. That 80k over 5 years is an extra 1300 a month of wiggle room I can pad my numbers with. 

That is at 3 too, our long term appreciation is closer to 4.5 and that is before rates drop and give us another overnight 20%. 

I'll get all my numbers put together today. 

Post: On Market Offers

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13

Is it common to have to offer way under asking to make the numbers work or am I looking in the wrong market? 

Please note that I'm mostly exercising my ability to run the numbers. So the example house may simply be a bad deal and I just don't recognize it yet. 

For example there's a 3 bed 2 bath appears to rent for $950 according to Rentometer. I can't make the numbers work without offering 75k less than asking. I assume that's simply just an offensive offer at that point. 

https://www.zillow.com/homedet...

Post: New To Investing, Trying To be a birddog.

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13
Quote from @Angela Beers:
Quote from @Josh Milewski:

Hello everyone. I'm new here and investing. I'm trying to break into it by starting out as a birddog. I'm not confident enough in my deal finding to try wholesale yet. Any advice?

I didn't see any specific rules on this but if missed them please let me know. 


Hi Josh! I found a big wholesaler near me and work with them for almost 4 years. I started off on the phones, qualifying leads and setting appointments, then I started doing inside sales and then I became a sales rep. I learned SOOOOO much. How to calculate ARV, rehab costs and of course the ins and outs of wholesaling. Go straight after what you want and don't waste time!


 I never considered working with wholesalers in this way 

Post: New To Investing, Trying To be a birddog.

Josh Milewski
Pro Member
Posted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Jonesboro, AR
  • Posts 61
  • Votes 13
Quote from @Adam Macias:
Quote from @Josh Milewski:

Hello everyone. I'm new here and investing. I'm trying to break into it by starting out as a birddog. I'm not confident enough in my deal finding to try wholesale yet. Any advice?

I didn't see any specific rules on this but if missed them please let me know. 


 Bird dogging sounds nice but you still have to deal within contracts with finders fees to make sure you get paid. I'd stick to assignable contracts and wholesaling because it's one additional step from what people mean by being a bird dog. Finding buyers is the most important part in building your confidence.

Imagine have 50 solid buyers you know have the funds, are actively buying and you see the before and after projects first hand. Wouldn't that give you some confidence?


I guess my biggest fear about wholesaling is to get a contract that no one wants. I don't have the capitol to buy it directly yet.