Quote from @Patricia Berman:
Do your medium term rentals stay booked for the most part?
What is the cash on cash return look like for those compared to STRs?
What is your favorite city to MTR in?
Hi Patricia,
This will vary market by market and neighborhood by neighborhood but you should be able to gather some market statistics from STR data collectors, talking to people on BP and local Airbnb/STR Facebook groups in your area.
My market (Sacramento) has been able to consistently be in the 85-90% occupancy for Medium Term Rentals. My daily rate for MTR is ~$155. If I were to rent to STR, my daily rate would be $185 (a 20% premium).
Once you have a good idea what the daily rates are for each lease option you can back into your own breakpoint analysis by solving for occupancy rate needed in each scenario to earn the same amount. If your market has a 45% occupancy rate on STR, but a 85% occupancy rate for MTR, then a 20% price difference would make the MTR the far better options.
If you are looking to invest in a MTR property, I would start high level and think about what markets could see some growth in flexible work. One strategy you could employ would be to look at cities that have not seen their workforce come back to the office yet and the submarkets within a 2-3 hour drive from these major cities.
I do believe this is a cyclical change and we will see a reversion back to the STR being the leader along with traditional rentals. I don't believe the Work From Anywhere movement is lasting and as the real estate cycle resets itself, people will become more conservative and reduce their spending into categories that are essential. Medium Term Rentals are a unique offering, but they are very expensive to the consumer. As we will see in the months to come, consumer confidence will erode and the number of people willing to spend 50-75% premiums on their monthly rent spend will go away.
Wealth accumulation requires patience, thoughtfulness, and is often slow. Stay the path and you will get there, but be careful to make investment decisions on cyclical trends that are new and are likely to fade away. Position yourself with real estate assets that have versatility, are well located, and are places people want to be in any market.
- J