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All Forum Posts by: John Williamson

John Williamson has started 4 posts and replied 24 times.

Post: Historic Home; Should I or Shouldn't I?

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

So, I haven't yet acquired a deal for Buy/Flip; yet I have come across a pre-foreclose that is a part of the city of Tualatin's Historical Society. It was built in 1890. Talk about a difficult home to conduct a Comp on for an ARV! (especially for a newbie).

I have attached the photos. I am trying to debate even taking the time to walk through tomorrow afternoon.

My question to all experienced investors: would you recommend trying to acquire this property as a first time investor? (ask is $234K, median sale price in the city is $416K)

Thanks!

Post: Portland, OR Cost of Repair Estimating

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

@Kuba F. - Thank you for those sounds words of wisdom. I will certainly make a strong attempt to 'hack' the investor systems, although I'm having a tough go of it with trying to maintain tolerable performance in my W-2 job. The investor systems all require more knowledge and relationship, all which comes with time. I'll get there soon though, I have my mind set on it

@Daniel S McNabb - I appreciate the offer! I don't have any properties currently, but will certainly give you a call once one gets in my crosshairs.

@Brian Pulaski - Thanks for the encouraging words on the time taken for analyzing deals. I just see posts and/or webinars by @Brandon Turner that say "Analyze a deal in 5 min or less". I SOOOOOOOO want to be that fast and efficient, but theres just so many changing variables! I am with you on finding a good deal rather than spending too much on a bad deal. That's why I just recently terminated a contract on a SFH that would've cost at least $70K in rehab

@Ray Lai - I'd love some assistance in a DM plan! I have no experience with that, and would like to have a good system by which I can regularly hit/mail the 'right demographic' at the 'right time'. All things that an experienced investor might have under their belt

Post: Portland, OR Cost of Repair Estimating

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

@Derrick Aragon

Great, thanks!!

Post: Portland, OR Cost of Repair Estimating

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

@Derrick Aragon

I appreciate the suggestion. If I'm hearing you correctly, you're suggesting that I contract their services to map out a 'cookie-cutter' rehab (given no unforseen structural issues). I like it. I might see if my contractor might be able to assist with something like that first, however (lower cost I'd presume).

@Steve B.

That's a great suggestion for following up. I admit, in my scurry of the 9-5 and analyzing all these deals, I'm neglecting the follow up on these properties and what they sold for. Even more interesting would be 3-4 months down the road and seeing what they 'flipped' for! My initial target for profit (on paper) was $50K. After my first 5 failed offers, I learned that 50 may be too aggressive and have lowered my target to a $25K profit/flip (going for more volume of deals).

Have either of you found a successful avenue for generating leads in this Portland market?

Post: Portland, OR Cost of Repair Estimating

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

@Derrick Aragon

Thanks Derrick! My realtor has also suggested that. I'll need to do some shopping at Home Depot with my wife to get that covered! 

Post: Portland, OR Cost of Repair Estimating

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

@J Scott,

I'm honored by the reply! I'm nearly finished with your book, "The Book on Flipping Houses", and am loving it. I'm just not finding that it provides a cut and dry way for a quick estimate on a rehab (even without seeing the house). I think you had mentioned that it is something that will mainly come with time and going through with contractors on property analyses. I've only had about 4 houses to do that on (all offers were rejected), and I'm looking to bypass the time taken by a contractor and my being taken advantage of from a cost standpoint.

Is the e-book that (didn't get the package deal) more detailed on rehab costs?

I'll be getting my hands dirty soon, as my first flip offer was accepted TONIGHT! Wish me luck on my SOW and budget work :) We close on 12/1. Very excited to begin the journey after reading from the experts like yourself

Post: Portland, OR Cost of Repair Estimating

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

Hey Everyone,

I have been actively on the house search for just over 2 months now. We've made 10 offers on flip properties, but have been beat out by higher bidders each time. One good thing: my wife and I are being very conservative and are sticking to our Max Allowable Offer 'guns'. We back out if we believe the profit is too tight.

BUT our main linchpin for determining our offer is the fabled COST OF REPAIR ESTIMATE. I am not a contractor and don't have construction experience. We have walked through a couple of the properties with a contractor, but the prices he's dishing out are so dang expensive for (what we believed to be) low cost improvements. I'm afraid that we are oozing FIRST TIME INVESTOR and will be taken advantage of on the cost front with contractors. And this is taking me out of the game because my max offer is so low

I am about to engage in creating a comprehensive 'cost of repair estimating' worksheet for virtually any rehab item for a house. I will be spending countless hours in research and 'excel time' to do this. I just want a much more systematic and AUTOmatic way to quickly assess repair costs on a property given square footage, # of bed/bathrooms, size of kitchen, size of yard, area of roofing, etc.

My question to anyone out there: is there any tool available that will do this quickly and accurately (within +/-10%)? I am growing weary of spending upwards of 1 hr per property I'm analyzing, while maintaining a W-2 job, new marriage, and having fun with my awesome 5-month old baby boy (pic attached!)

Any help would be greatly appreciated for this desperate investor on a mission!!!

John W.

Post: "New Member" New Fix 'n' Flip Investor in Portland, OR

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

Thanks Dave! Excited to be a member, even more excited to land my first deal!

Post: "New Member" New Fix 'n' Flip Investor in Portland, OR

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

Hey Everyone!

GENERAL INTRODUCTION

My name is John and I am new to R.E. investing and a recent new member of B.P. I hail from Tigard (just SE of Portland, still in metroplex), but recently bought a new primary residence with my wife in Lake Oswego's Mountain Park neighborhood. I'm originally from Southern Oregon (Roseburg), went to college at Oregon State University (GO BEAVS!) and did what any good Oregonian kid does and majored in Forest Products and got an MBA to boot. :) I landed what I thought to be the dream job at my childhood job of Roseburg Forest Products, one of the largest privately held timber products company in the U.S. I was the Technical Director (managed Quality and product engineering) for 5 1/2 years. Then (thanks to the prodding of one of my employees) I realized that what I was making in Roseburg was nothing close to what I could earn in management in the Portland area. Furthermore, my 28-yr old life was in a stall. Not much dating prospects in Roseburg, not much ability to set roots there. So I did the bold thing and quit, sold my house (more on that later), and moved to Portland (Happy Valley to be exact) to live in the basement of my parents condo.

FIRST REAL ESTATE PURCHASE

If I had been a savvy investor at the time I would have done differently with my first R.E. investment. I bought a house severely below cost (but well above market) in 2011. I bought for 240, and sold in 2015 for 290. Decent appreciation, but the market median in that town (Winston) was only 110! I did a lot of work on the house too. Oh well, decent chunk of change coming out of that.

THE CRAZY YEAR

Once in Portland, I ended up landing a job (current employer) in Tualatin on 4/18/2016. I also met my wife in May last year. Then we got a house together in Tigard (current residence, actually it was a flip that we bought!) in September, set a date for the next summer for getting married in early October, found out we were pregnant in late October, ended up getting married in December, wife lost her job in May while entering third trimester (!), and our son was born healthy and strong on 6/22 of this year! Crazy year, huh? 

FINANCIAL NEEDS

Well, we quickly came to the realization that we wouldn't be able to maintain on just 1 income. My employer (small business) doesn't offer health insurance, has limited vacation time, and isn't very flexibly on salary increases. That's when we stumbled upon Real Estate as a viable option for a career change and long-term wealth building. 

THE FIRST STEPS IN RE INVESTING

Since that decision point (7/26/17) I have done tons of book research, made contact with 3 realtors that are finding deals for me, have a private lender that is willing to finance for me. I have offered on 10 properties, but none have taken. Portland (as many know) is a VERY HOT market, but its beginning to cool. I just want to make sure that, as a newbie investor, I am very cautious and OVERESTIMATE my costs as opposed to underestimating and losing my drawers. I understand that that has taken my price point way out of the game, but I am trying to hold to my guns (much to the shagrin of my realtor friends). I'm a man of faith, and trust that the right property will come along at the right time. 

My strategy is to part ways with my W-2 employment after that first succesful flip (or 2/15/18, whichever comes first). RE will be my full time gig. Long term strategy is BRRRR and multi-family properties.

I have a very strong purpose and WHY STATEMENT and I am super excited about meeting, networking, and just dunking myself into the industry with all that I have.

Feel free to send colleague requests and write me back! If you're in the Portland area and 'in the game', I'd love to meet and pick your brain. "The way of a fool is right in his own eyes, but a wise man listens to advice"

Cheers!

John W.

Post: Bidding wars among potential tenants?

John WilliamsonPosted
  • Lake Oswego, OR
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 7

Hi Everyone,

I'm actually in the same boat right now. This is our (my wife and I) very first rental, converting our current primary residence after closing on a new primary residence. We did a bunch of market comp research and put our initial rent at 'well above average' price for its size (due to a very nice recent remodel). Within the first 12 hrs (listed last night) I have received FOUR INTERESTED TENANTS! My wife and I are beside ourselves and are thrilled! At the current price, we're still set to get a monthly cashflow of $652. But should we allow interested renters to bid up if they really want the property??

I have attached the link to the zillow rent listing. https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/48542014_zpi...

This first-timer newcomer to the RE business would appreciate your thoughts and input!